On the Generic Utilization of Probabilistic Methods for Quantification of Uncertainty in Process-based Morhpodynamic Model Applications

Conference paper (2014)
Department
Hydraulic Engineering (CEG) (TU Delft)
Copyright: © 2014 The Author(s)
Morphodynamics Uncertainty quantification Probabilistic Uncertainties Process-based Holland coast ICCE 2014 Morphodynamic models Unibest CL+
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Published Date

15-06-2014

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Source:

ICCE 2014: Proceedings of 34th International Conference on Coastal Engineering, Seoul, Korea, 15-20 June 2014

ISBN:

978-0-9896611-2-6

Faculty

Civil Engineering and Geosciences

Department

Hydraulic Engineering

Abstract

A variety of uncertainty sources are inherent in process-based morphodynamic modelling applications. There is an increasing demand for the quantification of these uncertainties. This contribution introduces a probabilistic-morphodynamic (PM) modelling framework that enables this quantification. The PM modelling framework provides a systematic approach, while also lowering the required effort for inclusion of uncertainty quantification in morphodynamic model studies. Applicability and added value is shown using a pilot application to the Holland coast.