Anticipatory governance of a maritime mission using a real-time mission-oriented transition assessment
Jurrit Bergsma (TNO, TU Delft - Ship Design, Production and Operations)
Martijn Wiarda (TU Delft - Economics of Technology and Innovation, Eindhoven University of Technology)
Jeroen Pruyn (TU Delft - Ship Design, Production and Operations)
Geerten van de Kaa (TU Delft - Economics of Technology and Innovation)
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Abstract
Anticipatory governance supports mission-oriented innovation policy by identifying, mitigating, and preparing for barriers that impede socio-technical transformations. While recent research introduced the Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment as a formative approach to mission governance, we insufficiently understand how this approach helps govern missions over a sustained period. This study applies a ‘real-time’ Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment to yield longitudinal insights into how mission barriers are foreseen, constructed, and responded to by stakeholders. We do so in the context of the Dutch maritime mission ‘Climate neutral shipping by 2050′. The results of 14 assessments over a period of 1.5 years with 124 stakeholder representatives show how 19 mission barriers are collectively anticipated, explicated, and acted upon. As such, this paper conceptualizes and empirically explores the usefulness of a ‘real-time’ Mission-Oriented Transition Assessment as a formative approach to anticipatory mission governance.
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