Navigating Complexity
A Behavioural Systems Approach to Policymakers' Climate Adaptation Decision-Making
K.P. Bellmann (TU Delft - Technology, Policy and Management)
Gerdien de Vries – Promotor (TU Delft - Technology, Policy and Management)
Lisa Scholten – Promotor (TU Delft - Technology, Policy and Management)
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Abstract
Despite the recognition of the urgency of climate adaptation and the availability of cost-efficient solutions, efforts remain insufficient, resulting in an adaptation gap. This mismatch between current action and awareness has been labelled ‘adaptation puzzle’. To date, behavioural science research has primarily concentrated on citizens’ behaviours in this puzzle. However, climate adaptation takes place in a multi-actor system in which a range of actors and their dynamic interactions influence societal adaptation outcomes. Policymakers play a key role in this system, shaping the trajectory through which a society adapts.
This dissertation investigates policymakers’ climate adaptation decision-making and how it can be improved. In doing this, it adopts a novel behavioural systems approach that bridges behavioural insights and systems analysis to illuminate how the multi-actor system shapes policymakers’ decisions and vice versa. By developing a behavioural intervention for policymakers, this dissertation suggests a pathway for how behavioural science can contribute to advancing climate adaptation.