Structured Expert Judgment Findings Informing World Health Organization Foodborne Disease Estimates 2026
G.F. Nane (TU Delft - Applied Probability)
Tine Hald (Technical University of Denmark (DTU))
Willy Aspinall (University of Bristol)
R.M. Cooke (Resources for the Future, TU Delft - Applied Probability)
Arie Havelaar (University of Florida)
Yuki Minato (World Health Organization)
Charlee Roberts (World Health Organization)
Bodille P.M. Blomaard (Student TU Delft)
A.M. Primavera (Student TU Delft)
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Abstract
Robust estimates of the global burden of foodborne diseases are essential for guiding food safety policy and prioritizing interventions. The release of the first World Health Organization (WHO) global burden estimates in 2015 (WHO, 2015; Havelaar et al., 2015) represented a major step toward quantifying the public health impact of contaminated food and highlighted substantial gaps in both surveillance data and knowledge about how different hazards are transmitted. To continue strengthening the evidence base for food safety decision-making, WHO reconvened the Foodborne Disease Burden Epidemiology Reference Group (FERG) in 2021 with a mandate to update the global estimates, expand analyses to the national level, and develop indicators for monitoring progress in reducing foodborne disease (WHO, 2022)...