Introduction and Overview of Structured Expert Judgement

Book chapter (2021)

Authors

Simon French University of Warwick
Anca M. Hanea University of Melbourne
Tim Bedford University of Strathclyde
G.F. Nane Applied Probability - EEMCS
Research Group
Applied Probability (EEMCS) (TU Delft)
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Published Date

2021

Language

English

Reuse Rights

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Faculty

Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science

Department

Delft Institute of Applied Mathematics

Research Group

Applied Probability

Abstract

This chapter sets the background for when, and discusses the contexts in which, eliciting expert judgements is paramount. The way judgements are elicited and aggregated plays an essential part in distinguishing structured/formal elicitation protocols from informal ones. We emphasise the importance of properly reporting the steps and decision taken during an elicitation, and draw a parallel to the reporting of experimental designs underpinning the data collection. Directions for future research are proposed, and the chapter ends with an outline of the book.