Participatory Decision-Making under Deep Uncertainty
Modeling mobility transitions
K.J. Führer (TU Delft - Policy Analysis)
J.H. Kwakkel – Promotor (TU Delft - Policy Analysis)
Etiënne A.J.A. Rouwette – Promotor (Radboud Universiteit Nijmegen)
F.M. d'Hont – Copromotor (TU Delft - Policy Analysis)
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Abstract
Transitioning to a more sustainable mobility system is a challenging task due to the complexity of the system, the presence of multiple actors with diverging views on the problem, the uncertainty about the system's current state, how the future might unfold and affect the system, and what values to consider. This research contributes a novel approach to address the wicked problem of transitioning to more sustainable mobility. We build on transition modeling, stakeholder engagement, and decision-making under deep uncertainty (DMDU) to enable decision-makers to frame the problem, model the system, generate policies, and deliberate these policies while taking uncertainty into account. By designing, executing, and evaluating DMDU processes involving stakeholders, we make the first steps to establish a practice of participatory DMDU.