Predicting The Impact Of Climate Change On Pipe Failure In Drinking Water Distribution Systems
B.A. Wols (KWR Water Research Institute, TU Delft - Sanitary Engineering)
P van Thienen (KWR Water Research Institute)
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Abstract
Underground water infrastructure can be vulnerable towards climate change. In previous research, correlations between weather parameters and pipe failure rates in the drinking water distribution systems (DWDS) of the Netherlands were found. Using the statistical relations between pipe failure frequencies and weather conditions, a methodology is proposed to assess the effect of climate change on the integrity of DWDSs. As the time scales of climate change are in the order of 50 years, the methodology has been set up to also incorporate the evolution of the DWDS.