Clinical outcomes of non-COVID-19 orthopaedic patients admitted during the COVID-19 pandemic

a multi-centre interrupted time series analysis across hospitals in six different countries

Journal Article (2023)
Author(s)

Lotje Anna Hoogervorst (Leiden University Medical Center)

Pieter Stijnen (University Hospital Leuven)

Marco Albini (Humanitas Group)

Nina Janda (Global Health Data@Work)

Andrew J. Stewardson (Alfred Hospital)

Kiran Patel (University Hospitals Coventry and Warwickshire Nhs Trust)

Rob G.H.H. Nelissen (Leiden University Medical Center)

Perla Marang-Van De Mheen (Leiden University Medical Center)

Affiliation
External organisation
DOI related publication
https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-073276 Final published version
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Publication Year
2023
Language
English
Affiliation
External organisation
Issue number
9
Volume number
13
Article number
e073276
Downloads counter
135

Abstract

Objectives To assess across seven hospitals from six different countries the extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic affected the volumes of orthopaedic hospital admissions and patient outcomes for non-COVID-19 patients admitted for orthopaedic care. Design A multi-centre interrupted time series (ITS) analysis. Setting Seven hospitals from six countries who collaborated within the Global Health Data@Work collaborative. Participants Non-COVID-19 patients admitted for orthopaedic care during the pre-pandemic (January/2018-February/2020) and COVID-19 pandemic (March/2020-June/2021) period. Admissions were categorised as: (1) acute admissions (lower limb fractures/neck of femur fractures/pathological fractures/joint dislocations/upper limb fractures); (2) subacute admissions (bone cancer); (3) elective admissions (osteoarthritis). Outcome measures Monthly observed versus expected ratios (O/E) were calculated for in-hospital mortality, long (upper-decile) length-of-stay and hospital readmissions, with expected rates calculated based on case-mix. An ITS design was used to estimate the change in level and/or trend of the monthly O/E ratio by comparing the COVID-19 pandemic with the pre-pandemic period. Results 69 221 (pre-pandemic) and 22 940 (COVID-19 pandemic) non-COVID-19 orthopaedic patient admissions were included. Admission volumes were reduced during the COVID-19 pandemic for all admission categories (range: 33%-45%), with more complex patients treated as shown by higher percentages of patients admitted with ≥1 comorbidity (53.8% versus 49.8%, p<0.001). The COVID-19 pandemic was not associated with significant changes in patient outcomes for most diagnostic groups. Only for patients diagnosed with pathological fractures (pre-pandemic n=1671 and pandemic n=749), the COVID-19 pandemic was significantly associated with an immediate mortality reduction (level change of -77.7%, 95% CI -127.9% to -25.7%) and for lower limb fracture patients (pre-pandemic n=9898 and pandemic n=3307) with a significantly reduced trend in readmissions (trend change of -6.3% per month, 95% CI -11.0% to -1.6%). Conclusions Acute, subacute, as well as elective orthopaedic hospital admissions volumes were reduced in all global participating hospitals during the COVID-19 pandemic, while overall patient outcomes for most admitted non-COVID-19 patients remained the same despite the strain caused by the surge of COVID-19 patients.