Developing a traffic load model for bridges based on registered license plates

Developing a traffic load model for bridges based on registered license plates: Verifying structural reliability of existing structures by using Monte Carlo simulations with a load model based on license plates

van Dam, Johan (TU Delft Civil Engineering and Geosciences)

Blom, C.B.M. (mentor)
Morales Napoles, O. (mentor)
Houben, L.J.M. (mentor)
Mendoza Lugo, M.A. (mentor)

Delft University of Technology

Civil Engineering

2020-10-04

New and existing bridges in the Netherlands must abide by structural safety codes, such as the Eurocode. In this code, structural safety is expressed through the reliability index 훽. For certain reference periods a threshold value for 훽 exists. When applying prescribed load models given in the Eurocode, the structure is guaranteed to at least fulfil to this threshold value. However, these prescribed load models are deterministic in nature and can be rather conservative for bridges in urban areas. This thesis focusses on creating a probabilistic load model based on actual traffic loading by making use of a camera system that registers license plates to check whether the vehicle is allowed to enter the inner city of Rotterdam due to environmental zones. From this camera system data, technical information such as wheelbase, legally allowed axle loads, gross vehicle weight and such can be extracted since they are coupled to license plates. This technical information is then used to create load models based on actual registered traffic. This load model represents trucks as point loads with interspatial axle distances. In total, one year of collected data by the camera system is stored, called the LP data. This load model is then used in a probabilistic reliability analysis as a load variable input. When comparing the LP data with available weigh-in-motion (WIM) data from two measurement locations in Rotterdam, it turned out that the LP data does not incorporate under- and overloaded axles and was overestimating the accompanying reliability index. Hence to account for this, an axle load factor 휂௜ is introduced to simulate under- and overloaded axles. This factor 휂௜ is based on the WIM data and is different for each vehicle type. With the use of this factor, a second, improved load model is constructed. This is referred to as the modified LP data. A third and final load model was constructed from the available WIM data, called the WIM model. For each of these three load models the load effects were calculated, and distributions were fitted accordingly for simulating several 25 year periods of traffic. The output of these load models is a loadeffect maxima distribution that can serve as a direct input in a probabilistic reliability analysis. With these three load models, a hypothetical slab with a span length of 10 m was probabilistically analysed where the LP model, the modified LP model and the WIM model resulted in reliability indexes of 4.8, 4.1 and 3.7 respectively. When compared to the requirement in the Eurocode, all load models comply. Concluding from this, the modified LP model suggested in this thesis can be used as a load input in a probabilistic verification for this very considered bridge location. For this load model to be applicable to multiple bridges, more research must be done since only one location was considered in this thesis. However, the suggested approach to construct load models based on license plates can be used verify the applicability to multiple bridges.

traffic loads
Probabilistic analysis
Monte Carlo Simulation
existing bridges
Python

http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:38c14002-4956-4f87-b981-b10056baf9fe

Student theses

master thesis

© 2020 Johan van Dam