The Resilience Value of Public Transport Development Plans

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Abstract

Investments in transport are increasingly motivated by the need to improve its resilience – the overall capability to maintain system integrity and functionality. Nonetheless, there is lack of knowledge on how to assess their impact on network resilience. This study investigates the resilience of alternative public transport networks by assessing the consequences of link failures on network performance. A full-scan disruption impact analysis is performed and its implications on travel times and network integrity are analyzed for a public transport expansion plan in Stockholm, Sweden. The results demonstrate that the extended network is considerably more resilient in terms of average performance deterioration as well as worst case scenario. Moreover, the critical links in each network are identified and impact disparity is investigated. The analysis method presented in this study can support the consideration of development plans impacts on network resilience in the planning process.