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Journal article (2026) - Nejc Geržinič, Oded Cats
Tradeable Mobility Credits (TMC) are a novel demand management policy. Travel can be priced based on externalities and travellers are allocated TMC, which are consumed when travelling, with the price depending on trip characteristics. Travellers can buy/sell TMC in exchange for money. In this study, we analyse (1) how travel behaviour would be affected by a TMC-scheme, (2) TMC trading behaviour and (3) their interaction. We carry out an online stated preference survey, and apply a latent class choice model (LCCM) to analyse travel behaviour, whereas credit trading is analysed by means of a multiple linear regression. A key finding throughout the research is that TMC tend to be perceived non-linearly, with a logarithmic transformation often outperforming linear specifications. This means each additional credit carries less value. The LCCM reveals three out of four groups (88 % of respondents) consider their current balance when making travel choices. Two groups (∼50 %) are predominantly unimodal, travelling almost exclusively by bicycle or public transport. Others base their decision primarily on travel time and cost. In trading, the exchange rate and balance have a substantial influence, offering evidence for loss aversion. The number of travel instances remaining, and the experience of having performed a trade in the past also affect trading behaviour, whereas socio-demographic characteristics are found to have a limited impact. Our result show a TMC policy can achieve substantial behavioural adaptations, reaching the desired outcomes. The limited awareness of such policies, concerns about equitable TMC allocation and additional hassle associated with trading remain challenges to be addressed. ...
Journal article (2026) - Mohd Aiman Khan, Wilco Burghout, Oded Cats, Erik Jenelius, Matej Cebecauer
Recent advances in battery technology and the global shift toward sustainable transport have accelerated the adoption of electrified public transit systems. However, the implementation of such systems is often constrained by the need for large battery capacities and the high costs associated with stationary charging infrastructure. This study investigates the potential of Mobile Autonomous Charging Pods (MAPs) which are autonomous mobile charging vehicles as an innovative and cost-effective strategy to support the electrification of high-frequency urban bus lines. Using microscopic simulation for inner-city trunk lines in Stockholm, three charging configurations are evaluated: (i) depot-only charging, (ii) depot charging combined with end-station charging, and (iii) depot charging supported by MAPs. Results show that the MAP-based approach enables a reduction in total battery capacity by up to 67% compared to the depot-only strategy and yields total cost savings of over 7 million USD in total cost of ownership across an 11-year horizon. In addition to reducing capital and grid connection costs, MAPs offer greater operational flexibility and resilience by decentralizing energy delivery and enabling dynamic in-motion or stationary charging. The findings highlight MAPs as a scalable and economically viable solution that complements traditional depot infrastructure, offering a path toward more adaptable and efficient electric public transport networks. ...
Journal article (2026) - Androniki Dimitriadou, Konstantinos Gkiotsalitis, Tao Liu, Oded Cats
Electrification is reshaping Mobility-on-Demand (MoD), yet coordinating electric demand-oriented shuttles with public transport remains challenging due to the interaction of routing, charging, and timetable decisions. This study introduces an Electric Vehicle Routing and Public Transport Rescheduling model (EVRP–PTR) that jointly assigns electric shuttle feeder services to passenger requests, schedules opportunity charging through in-network pantographs while maintaining time continuity in the charging process, and reschedules public transport departures to improve transfer synchronization. The problem is bi-objective, minimizing passenger door-to-public transport travel time and shuttle operating costs while accounting for travel-time uncertainty. Initially formulated as a mixed-integer nonlinear program (MINLP), the model is reformulated as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP), enabling the computation of globally optimal solutions. Due to the multi-objective nature of the problem, the Pareto front is obtained using the ϵ-constraint method. A case study in Athens, Greece, where electric shuttles feed the Athens–Thessaloniki railway corridor with five pantograph locations, shows that modest fleet increases substantially reduce passenger travel times and eliminate the need for en-route charging in some Pareto-optimal solutions. Under travel-time uncertainty, service-performance gains become less pronounced, and larger on-demand fleets are required to maintain comparable service quality. The proposed framework remains computationally tractable for mid-sized networks and can support tactical planning and opportunity-charging scheduling by quantifying trade-offs between service quality and fleet resources in integrated PT–EMoD systems. ...

Evaluation Tool for the Implementation of Personalization in Passenger Information Systems

Conference paper (2026) - Michelle T. van Ardenne, Matej Cebecauer, Oded Cats, Zhenliang Ma
Providing relevant information is crucial in public transport systems. With the rise of digital passenger information systems (PIS), personalization has emerged as a means to meet passengers’ information needs better. To better understand how personalization can be implemented in PIS, five levels of personalization have been identified in the literature, highlighting varying degrees of system autonomy and passenger involvement. While these levels have advanced the understanding of personalization, their practical application remains limited. This paper builds upon an existing framework of personalization levels. It introduces an evaluation tool composed of distinct performance measures to help PIS developers assess their system’s current personalization level and identify opportunities for technological advancement. The tool enables a comparison of the personalization functionalities against the best practices defined by the personalization levels. The paper further outlines the creation of the tool through functional benchmarking, introduces system behaviors across levels, and evaluates commercial PIS through case studies, offering actionable insights for advancing PIS personalization. ...
Journal article (2026) - Filippo Borgogno, Renzo Massobrio, Jorik Grolle, Oded Cats
High-speed rail (HSR) is often considered a promising and sustainable alternative for long-distance travel in the European context, aligned with Europe’s ambitious mobility and climate goals for 2050. However, a cohesive European HSR network is yet to be realised. Critically, the planning of a European HSR network requires considering how the network is to gradually evolve from its current fragmented state. We introduce an Evolutionary Network Growth model with Infrastructure and Network Effects considerations for European Rail (ENGINEER). This novel iterative network growth model selects the HSR infrastructure with the highest economic potential, continuously updating network configurations and demand patterns, subject to budget feasibility constraints. ENGINEER integrates cost estimates based on a microscopic representation and benefits estimated based on a macroscopic travel demand representation and is applied across 28 European countries. Our findings highlight the importance of path dependency and the benefits of an integrated decision-making in infrastructure planning. Model results demonstrate that ENGINEER can effectively identify promising HSR investments, yielding a cohesive and well-integrated European HSR network which leads to an increase in rail mode share per trip from 13% in 2023 to 27% by 2065. ...
Conference paper (2026) - Mohd Aiman Khan, Wilco Burghout, Erik Jenelius, Oded Cats, Matej Cebecauer
The rise of autonomous electric vehicles (AEVs) presents new challenges and opportunities for an efficient and flexible charging infrastructure. This study proposes a reinforcement learning (RL) based framework for optimizing the control and operation of mobile autonomous charging pods (MAPs) for maintaining the operation of AEVs through dynamic charging. We formulate a time and energy aware Markov Decision Process (MDP) to maximize the energy delivered, and the number of AEVs serviced, while also minimizing energy consumed and increasing efficiency. We integrate this framework with SUMO to enable realistic MAP-AEV interactions. A Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) algorithm was used to train this MDP and identify the optimal control strategies for initiating, terminating, and balancing the network. The results show that the PPO agent can service around 175 AEVs, with an efficiency of 91.5%, representing a 25% improvement over baseline greedy heuristics. Moreover, the battery capacities of AEVs can also be reduced by up to 26%, without compromising the performance. The simulation results show the potential of the proposed method in providing a flexible, and scalable charging for future transport. ...

Temporal, spatial and modal traveler profiles

Journal article (2026) - Charalampos Sipetas, Nejc Geržinič, Zhiren Huang, Oded Cats, Miloš N. Mladenović
Understanding multi-modal urban mobility patterns is essential for effective planning and policy-making. Traditional data sources, such as infrequent surveys or smart card records, often lack the temporal, spatial, and modal comprehensiveness required to fully capture the complexity of multi-modal travel behavior. Emerging mobility data sources are instrumental in capturing these patterns and in enabling additional insights. This study leverages a digitally collected trajectory-level dataset (i.e., TravelSense) obtained from a smartphone application operated by the public transport authority of Helsinki, Finland. Unlike conventional public transport data, TravelSense provides insights into modal choices alongside temporal and spatial travel characteristics. In order to analyze mobility patterns and explore the capabilities of this novel dateset, a Latent Profile Analysis is employed to classify travelers based on these attributes over a week-long period, with profiles compared across three consecutive years (2022, 2023, and 2024). Findings reveal that while spatial travel patterns remain relatively stable, temporal and modal patterns exhibit greater variability. A distinct shift is observed between 2022 and subsequent years, likely reflecting post-pandemic behavioral changes. Key traveler groups identified include exclusive active mode users (13 % annually) and non-private car users, whose share declined from 38 % in 2022 to approximately 20 % in 2023 and 2024. Study findings offer valuable input for shaping evidence-based mobility policies, particularly those aiming to support sustainable travel behavior and adapt to evolving urban mobility needs through enhanced multi-modality. TravelSense enables detailed analysis of temporal, spatial, and modal travel patterns, underscoring the value of novel data for multi-modal transport research. ...
Journal article (2026) - Tina Šfiligoj, Aljoša Peperko, Oded Cats
We propose a topological formulation of accessibility based on the notion of Access Graph, in which two nodes are connected if they are reachable within a given travel time. We trace the emergence and evolution of its subgraphs with imposed levels of connectedness, specifically maximal clique and k-cores. We propose two complementary sets of accessibility indicators, cumulative and threshold, based on integral measures of subgraph growth and times at emergence of k-cores, respectively. For a meaningful comparison of networks across different dimensions, we contrast the realised accessibility with that of an idealised network on the same set of nodes. The proposed measures offer a view of accessibility that extends beyond the commonly used node-averaged indicators. Empirical analysis of 42 metro networks worldwide demonstrates universal patterns of accessibility behaviour. We illustrate the practical application of this approach on a case study where we examine the accessibility impacts yielded by alternative infrastructure and service developments. Our results amount to the reconceptualisation of accessibility within the complex network framework. ...
Previous research has shown that residential segregation often aligns with urban fragmentation in contexts where explicit segregation policies were historically implemented. However, it remains unclear whether this alignment also emerges in contemporary urban contexts where segregation is driven by market mechanisms and residential preferences. Here we analyze 520 cities across eight Western European countries using high-resolution demographic data and a Monte Carlo approach to test whether residential segregation of non-EU migrants aligns with urban fragmentation by railways, motorways, and waterways. We find that the relationship between residential segregation and urban fragmentation is highly heterogeneous across Europe. Rather than a uniform trend, our results reveal regional divergence: while the Netherlands and Germany exhibit a significant alignment, Spain, the United Kingdom, and Italy show less alignment than expected by chance. These findings suggest that urban barriers do not generally function as social frontiers in European contexts, with country-specific urban development potentially influencing the observed regional differences. ...
Journal article (2026) - Yiman Bao, Jie Gao, Jinke He, Frans A. Oliehoek, Oded Cats
Efficient matching in ride-hailing and ride-pooling services depends not only on how matches are constructed, but also on when the platform triggers a matching operation. Many systems use batched matching with a fixed time interval to accumulate requests before matching, which increases the candidate set but cannot adapt to real time supply-demand fluctuations and may induce unnecessary waiting. This paper proposes a reinforcement learning approach that learns when to trigger matching based on current system conditions. We formulate the timing problem as a finite-horizon Markov decision process and train the policy using the Proximal Policy Optimization algorithm. To address sparse and delayed feedback, we introduce a finite-horizon, potential-based reward shaping scheme that preserves the optimal policy while densifying the learning signal; the same framework applies to both ride-hailing and ride-pooling, where detour delay is incorporated into the reward for pooling. Using a data-driven simulator calibrated on NYC trip records, the learned policy adapts matching timing decisions to the current state of waiting requests and available drivers and outperforms fixed-interval, rule-based dynamic, and first-dispatch baselines. It reduces total waiting time by 3.1% in ride-hailing and 20.1% in ride-pooling, and detour delay by 36.1% in pooling, while maintaining short matching times. ...
Journal article (2026) - Harsh Shah, Ravi Gadepalli, Lakshay, Oded Cats
Efficient charging planning and scheduling are crucial for electric buses (e-buses) due to their limited range and extended charging times. This paper focuses on the problem of planning the charging infrastructure for a public transport network in a rural area. Due to longer routes and poor road conditions in rural areas, especially in developing countries, conventional diesel intercity bus services account for significant carbon emissions from bus transport. However, there is a gap in planning the electrification of rural bus systems, especially in terms of charging infrastructure planning. Accordingly, the aim of this research is to identify optimal charging schedules using an integrated modelling approach. In particular, an optimisation model is developed to simultaneously determine the optimum location and capacity of charging facilities, along with optimal charging schedules for e-buses. This model aims to minimise the costs associated with charging infrastructure and the electricity consumed by the buses, considering time of use (TOU) electricity tariffs. A real-world case study of Kalyana Karnataka Road Transport Corporation (KKRTC) in Karnataka, India is presented to test the efficacy of the developed model. For the considered scenario in the Kalburgi division (the largest division in KKRTC), with 11 depots and 887 bus routes, the model provides 52 optimal locations with a total of 82 opportunity chargers. According to the model, the feasible electrification level is 67.08% in the case of rural battery electric bus (BEB) systems for this division. Finally, a sensitivity analysis is presented to understand the effect of battery size and charger power on the results. The proposed approach offers operators a valuable tool for making optimal decisions regarding e-bus networks. ...

Can minimum wage regulation protect drivers without disrupting the market?

Journal article (2026) - Farnoud Ghasemi, Arjan de Ruijter, Rafal Kucharski, Oded Cats
Ride-sourcing platforms such as Uber and Lyft are prime examples of the gig economy, recruiting drivers as independent contractors, thereby avoiding legal and fiscal obligations. Although platforms offer flexibility in choosing work shifts and areas, many drivers experience low income and poor working conditions, leading to widespread strikes, protests and lawsuits against the platforms. In response, minimum wage regulation is adopted to improve drivers’ welfare. However, the impacts of this regulation on drivers as well as on travelers and platforms, remain largely unknown. While ride-sourcing platforms do not disclose the relevant data, state-of-the-art models fail to explain the effects of minimum wage regulation on market dynamics. In this study, we assess the effectiveness and implications of minimum wage regulation in ride-sourcing markets while simulating the detailed dynamics of ride-sourcing markets under varying regulation intensities, both with and without the so-called platform lockout strategy. We apply the model to Amsterdam due to the availability of detailed travel-demand data; while the framework is transferable to other cities, the magnitude of the results may vary with local market conditions. Our findings reveal that minimum wage regulation impacts substantially drivers income but may also lead to higher fares for travelers and threaten platforms’ survival. When platforms adopt a lockout strategy, their profitability significantly improves and drivers earn even more, although many others lose their jobs, and service level for travelers consequently declines. These findings highlight the complex trade-offs involved in regulating ride-sourcing market. ...
Journal article (2026) - Francesco Bruno, Oded Cats
Air–rail integration agreements are widely regarded as an important strategy to spark and stimulate a modal shift from air to rail. Intermodality has been consistently promoted by European transport policy over the last three decades. At the same time, the literature widely concurs on the potential benefits of air–rail integration for passengers, airports, airlines and rail operators. However, as of 2025, the availability of air–rail integration alternatives on the market is limited, and their potential benefits remain largely unexplored. Thus, this paper investigates the substitution potential of air–rail integration in Europe, compiling an inventory of rail connectivity at European airports and proposing a simple and interpretable indicator to quantify the Air–Rail Integration Substitution Potential (ARISP) at the route and airport levels. Our findings indicate that the substitution potential of air–rail integration in Europe is minimal: even when considering rail travel times within a 100% increase of existing air travel, the potential market represents less than 1% of the 1.2 billion intra-European air journeys. The modest competitiveness of rail travel times and the limited potential passenger flows on most substitutable routes suggest that air–rail integration should not be proposed as an environmental policy but rather as one to enhance connectivity. The ARISP indicator further reveals that the limited substitution potential is highly concentrated across a limited number of routes, airports, and geographical regions. Targeting them by directly connecting cities and airports’ railway stations with non-stop high-speed services (where possible) may enhance the effectiveness of air–rail integration on substitution. Our analysis shows that rail infrastructure and service provision at airports, as well as their position within the European railway network, are important determinants of the substitution potential of air–rail integration. ...
Railway systems suffer from disturbances in operations, such as extended section running times caused by temporary speed restrictions and prolonged dwell times at stations due to unexpected passenger volumes. These disturbances cause deviations from the original timetable and negatively impact service reliability and passenger experience. Effective and timely rescheduling measures are crucial in reducing the impact of these disturbances. Existing timetable rescheduling models that rely on optimization-based methods often struggle with computational inefficiency, especially when dealing with scenarios involving a large number of train services. To address these challenges, we propose a learning-based timetable rescheduling framework that considers scalability in its formulation to reduce the growing computational burden associated with an increasing number of train services. The proposed framework decomposes the complex rescheduling problem into multiple subtasks, facilitating a systematic approach to managing extensive railway networks with numerous stations and train services. A high-level agent, functioning as a centralized traffic controller, is responsible for decomposing the overall deviation reduction task into subtasks at a low level and assigning them to individual train services with the primary objective of minimizing the time required to restore the original timetable. Low-level agents, acting as distributed train dispatchers, are tasked with rescheduling the timetables of their assigned trains. These low-level agents employ various dispatching strategies, facilitated by inter-train communication, to search for optimal rescheduling solutions while adhering to operational constraints such as minimum headway requirements. The lowlevel agents utilize an actor-critic architecture to generate continuous control decisions for dwell and running times, enabling them to learn and optimize their performance. Knowledge-sharing mechanisms amongst the low-level agents enable faster and more robust learning. Furthermore, advanced exploration methods are integrated to enhance the efficiency of the agents' training process. ...
Journal article (2025) - Peyman Ashkrof, Farnoud Ghasemi, Rafał Kucharski, Gonçalo Homem de Almeida Correia, Oded Cats, Bart van Arem
As a two-sided digital platform, ride-sourcing has disruptively penetrated the mobility market. Ride-sourcing companies provide door-to-door transport services by connecting passengers with independent service suppliers labelled as “driver-partners”. Once a passenger submits a ride request, the platform attempts to match the request with a nearby available driver. Drivers have the freedom to accept or decline ride requests. The consequences of this decision, which is made at the operation level, have remained largely unknown in the literature. Using agent-based simulation modelling on the realistic case study of the city of Amsterdam, the Netherlands, we study the impacts of drivers’ ride acceptance behaviour, estimated from unique empirical data, on the ride-sourcing system where the platform applies regular and surge pricing strategies, and riders may revoke their requests and reject the received offers. Furthermore, we delve into the implications of various supply–demand intensities, a centralised fleet (i.e., mandatory acceptance on each ride request) versus a decentralised fleet (i.e., ride acceptance decision by each driver), ride acceptance rates, and surge pricing settings. We find that the ride acceptance decision of ride-sourcing drivers has far-reaching consequences for system performance in terms of passengers’ waiting time, driver's revenue, operating costs, and profit, all of which are highly dependent on the ratio between demand and supply. As the system undergoes a transition from undersupplied (i.e., real-time demand locally exceeds available drivers) to balanced and then oversupplied state (i.e., more available drivers than real-time demand), ride acceptance decisions result in higher income inequality. A high acceptance rate among drivers may lead to more rides, but it does not necessarily increase their profit. Surge pricing is found to be asymmetrically in favour of all the parties despite adverse effects on the demand side due to higher trip fare. This study offers insights into both the aggregated and disaggregated levels of ride-sourcing system operations and outlines a series of transport policy and practice implications in cities that offer such ride-sourcing systems. ...

A systematic literature review of opportunities and challenges

Modular vehicles (MVs), equipped with autonomous driving, communication, and platooning capabilities, are emerging as a promising innovation in transportation, offering the potential to enhance operational efficiency, flexibility, and environmental sustainability. However, challenges and barriers to their successful implementation are not yet fully understood, which limits the realization of these benefits. This literature review synthesizes existing research on MVs across various applications, including passenger and freight transport, to provide a systematic evaluation of state-of-art, opportunities and challenges for modular freight transport systems. The review identifies research gaps in five areas, such as their integration with multimodal transportation, and highlights key deployment challenges including regulatory hurdles, human factors, financial constraints, and operational complexities. Our findings emphasize the need for policy development, system design research and further empirical validation to assess the practical feasibility and impacts of MVs in the freight transport sector. ...
Journal article (2025) - Αnastasios Skoufas, Matej Cebecauer, Wilco Burghout, Erik Jenelius, Oded Cats
On-board crowding in public transportation has significant impact on passengers' travel experience. New land-use planning configurations can have wide-ranging crowding effects in the public transportation system. Nevertheless, there is a lack of knowledge on the crowding implications caused by new urban developments. In this study, we propose a method for quantifying the network-wide crowding implications of a new urban development. We apply the method to different kinds of urban developments in terms of type, size, location, proximity to high-capacity public transportation connections as well as socioeconomic characteristics. Size and proximity to a high-capacity connection are highly influential factors in determining the value and the geographical extent of the crowding implications. The analysis proposed in this paper can serve as a tool for the ex-post quantification of the on-board crowding impacts using automated data sources. The insights gained can be utilized in more efficient dimensioning of the supply (service) for newly developed areas as well as for placement of future urban developments accounting for the resulting crowding effects. ...
Other (2025) - Francesco Bruno, Mohammad Maghrour Zefreh, Oskar Fröidh, Oded Cats
This dataset contains the outputs of the paper "Replacing short-haul flights with train travel: Exploring impacts, capacity requirements and policy implications", published in Transport Policy. The paper investigates the potential implications of various SHF ban policy designs on CO2-equivalent emissions, passengers’ travel times and rail capacity, under the assumption of full air-to-rail modal substitution. The datasets are published to substantiate paper results and for use by other researchers. The data made available in this repository refers to travel time and emissions assessments, including some inputs and the aggregated outputs. Due to the limitations agreed upon with the data provider, the input data is not complete. The input data has been collected from multiple sources, including OAG, Rome2Rio and Google Distance Matrix API, and has been cleaned and processed using Python. More information is available in the README.txt file and the paper referenced below. ...

A review and a 5-level personalisation taxonomy

Journal article (2025) - Michelle T. van Ardenne, Matej Cebecauer, Oded Cats, Zhenliang Ma
Providing relevant information to passengers is essential for the functioning of the public transport system. With the digitalisation of passenger information systems (PIS), passengers currently have access to large amounts of information. To avoid cognitive overload among passengers, public transport systems experiment with applying personalisation to PIS, allowing for the provision of tailored information according to the needs and desires of passengers. Notwithstanding, systematic definitions and guidelines for designing personalised PIS in public transport are currently lacking. We, therefore, introduce a framework for assessing the personalisation levels of PIS, to close the gap between theoretical conceptualisations and practical implementations of PIS. Our framework defines five levels of personalisation, which are substantiated by a review of 40 papers focusing on personalisation in PIS. ...
Conference paper (2025) - Francisco Garrido-Valenzuela, Max Lange, Juan C. Herrera, Sander Van Cranenburgh, Oded Cats
We present a method to classify street networks using only geo-tagged street-level imagery. By combining pre-trained image embeddings with unsupervised clustering, it produces visually coherent street typologies without supervised training or labeled data and requires only minimal data curation. The approach is lightweight, scalable, and, in principle, transferable across urban contexts. In a Delft (Netherlands) case study, we classify approximately 2,000 road sections using over 70,000 images. Our method recovers distinct street types such as residential, arterial, and historic ones. These results show that pre-trained visual embeddings alone can support effective street classification from visual inputs, offering a practical tool for urban planning, transport analysis, and mobility research. ...