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N. Geržinič

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Book chapter (2026) - Nejc Geržinič, Niels van Oort
Mobility-as-a-Service, known simply under the acronym of MaaS, can be described as an integration of information, reservation and payment for a wide variety of transport modes into a single service. In that respect, MaaS is not a transport mode in a traditional sense. Through technological innovation, it became a viable solution in the 2010s, capturing the attention and interest of entrepreneurs, policymakers and researchers alike. Through research and trials, we now have a much clearer understanding of what MaaS is, what it can do for us and what are potential difficulties that need to be addressed or pitfalls to watch out for. Results on what would encourage travellers to use MaaS are often inconsistent, largely dependent on the specific national/regional context or the design of the service itself. Perhaps the most conclusive outcome is that effective and efficient public transport is essential for any MaaS scheme. It can and should be seen as a baseline, to which other (shared) services can then be coupled. Given the strong impact of context and design, it is not surprising that the implications are highly variable, with multiple studies stating what may or may not occur under specific circumstances. The novelty and lack of real applications beyond trials also means governance issues tend to be hypothetical, with papers generally echoing the need for collaboration among stakeholders and finding a balance between overregulation and laissez-faire policymaking. This uncertainty on various fronts also makes the future evolution of MaaS difficult to predict. Closer cooperation with public transport is a viable path forward, especially given the necessity of its inclusion in any MaaS scheme. Another approach may be integration of MaaS with non-mobility offerings. ...
Journal article (2026) - Willy Kriswardhana, Michela Le Pira, Giuseppe Inturri, Nejc Geržinič, Niels van Oort, Grzegorz Sierpiński, Adrian Barchański, Domokos Esztergár-Kiss
Considering current trends in innovative mobility solutions and the shifts in young generations’ travel behavior, this study investigates university students’ Mobility as a Service (MaaS) bundle uptake. Travel behavior of the younger generation has been widely explored in the literature, but their uptake of MaaS bundles has received limited attention. The data are derived from stated preference surveys conducted among the students of four European universities, where a mixed logit model is performed to calculate the parameters. The descriptive statistics confirm that people using public transport (PT) are potential adopters of MaaS bundles, whereas car users exhibit less interest. The results indicate differences in travel characteristics among specific locations in Europe. Students in Budapest are mostly PT users, and they show the highest interest in adopting MaaS bundles. Furthermore, students in Delft cycle more often and show disinclination toward bundles containing bike-sharing services. Cars are popular among students in Catania and Katowice, and they have interest in purchasing bundles including car-sharing services. The current research finds that providing incentives in MaaS bundles could potentially support their uptake. The interaction analysis indicates that high-income students are more inclined to have e-scooter-sharing and car-sharing within MaaS bundles. The findings shed light on the preferences toward MaaS among university students with different travel characteristics, which are relevant in addressing policies to promote more sustainable mobility options for residents. The results can potentially counterbalance skepticism that MaaS is not a sustainable mobility tool by demonstrating how context-specific bundle customization can bridge the wider adoption. ...
Journal article (2026) - Nejc Geržinič, Oded Cats
Tradeable Mobility Credits (TMC) are a novel demand management policy. Travel can be priced based on externalities and travellers are allocated TMC, which are consumed when travelling, with the price depending on trip characteristics. Travellers can buy/sell TMC in exchange for money. In this study, we analyse (1) how travel behaviour would be affected by a TMC-scheme, (2) TMC trading behaviour and (3) their interaction. We carry out an online stated preference survey, and apply a latent class choice model (LCCM) to analyse travel behaviour, whereas credit trading is analysed by means of a multiple linear regression. A key finding throughout the research is that TMC tend to be perceived non-linearly, with a logarithmic transformation often outperforming linear specifications. This means each additional credit carries less value. The LCCM reveals three out of four groups (88 % of respondents) consider their current balance when making travel choices. Two groups (∼50 %) are predominantly unimodal, travelling almost exclusively by bicycle or public transport. Others base their decision primarily on travel time and cost. In trading, the exchange rate and balance have a substantial influence, offering evidence for loss aversion. The number of travel instances remaining, and the experience of having performed a trade in the past also affect trading behaviour, whereas socio-demographic characteristics are found to have a limited impact. Our result show a TMC policy can achieve substantial behavioural adaptations, reaching the desired outcomes. The limited awareness of such policies, concerns about equitable TMC allocation and additional hassle associated with trading remain challenges to be addressed. ...

Temporal, spatial and modal traveler profiles

Journal article (2026) - Charalampos Sipetas, Nejc Geržinič, Zhiren Huang, Oded Cats, Miloš N. Mladenović
Understanding multi-modal urban mobility patterns is essential for effective planning and policy-making. Traditional data sources, such as infrequent surveys or smart card records, often lack the temporal, spatial, and modal comprehensiveness required to fully capture the complexity of multi-modal travel behavior. Emerging mobility data sources are instrumental in capturing these patterns and in enabling additional insights. This study leverages a digitally collected trajectory-level dataset (i.e., TravelSense) obtained from a smartphone application operated by the public transport authority of Helsinki, Finland. Unlike conventional public transport data, TravelSense provides insights into modal choices alongside temporal and spatial travel characteristics. In order to analyze mobility patterns and explore the capabilities of this novel dateset, a Latent Profile Analysis is employed to classify travelers based on these attributes over a week-long period, with profiles compared across three consecutive years (2022, 2023, and 2024). Findings reveal that while spatial travel patterns remain relatively stable, temporal and modal patterns exhibit greater variability. A distinct shift is observed between 2022 and subsequent years, likely reflecting post-pandemic behavioral changes. Key traveler groups identified include exclusive active mode users (13 % annually) and non-private car users, whose share declined from 38 % in 2022 to approximately 20 % in 2023 and 2024. Study findings offer valuable input for shaping evidence-based mobility policies, particularly those aiming to support sustainable travel behavior and adapt to evolving urban mobility needs through enhanced multi-modality. TravelSense enables detailed analysis of temporal, spatial, and modal travel patterns, underscoring the value of novel data for multi-modal transport research. ...
Journal article (2025) - Nejc Geržinič, Marko Guček, Oded Cats
Shared on-demand mobility services, also known as microtransit, have become a major mobility provider around the world, yet this has predominantly taken place within urban areas. In areas with lower population density and poor quality public transport, such services could substantially improve accessibility. In early 2023, a regional microtransit pilot was carried out in the Ljubljana Urban Region in Slovenia. To assess the preferences towards such a service, a stated preference experiment is carried out among pilot participants, comparing car, public transport and microtransit for their daily commute. The obtained data is modelled using a Panel mixed logit model, with random parameters modelled as normally or log-normally distributed. Additionally, we also model for potential nesting effects among the alternatives. The results show participants perceive microtransit as a viable alternative, with public transport commuters finding it particularly attractive, whereas car commuters see it on par with the car. Parking price and a guaranteed parking spot tended to be key factors for decision-making. Simulating different policies, we conclude that combining subsidising microtransit and higher parking prices is the most effective strategy for achieving a modal shift primarily from car to microtransit while not affecting public transport as much. ...
Review (2025) - Nejc Geržinič, Mark van Hagen, Hussein Al-Tamimi, Niels van Oort, Dorine Duives
Shared micromobility (SMM), including bicycles, e-bikes, scooters, etc., is often cited as a solution to the first and especially the last mile problem of public transport (PT), yet when implemented, they often do not get adopted by a broader travelling public. As behavioural adaption is largely related to peoples’ attitudes and perceptions, we develop a behavioural framework based on the UTAUT2 framework to gain better understanding why individuals may (not) be willing to use SMM. Through an exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and a latent class cluster analysis (LCCA), we study the adoption potential of SMM and assess drivers and barriers as perceived by different user groups. Our findings uncover six user groups; Shared mobility positives, Car-oriented sharing neutrals, Older apprehensive sharers, Young eager adopters, (Shared) Mobility avoiders and Skilled sharing sceptics. The Young eager adopters and Shared mobility positives tend to be the most open to adopting SMM and able to do so. Older apprehensive sharers would like to, but find it difficult or dangerous to use, while Skilled sharing sceptics are capable and confident, but have limited intention of using it. Car-oriented sharing neutrals and (Shared) Mobility avoiders are most negative about SMM, finding it difficult to use and dangerous. Factors relating to technological savviness, ease-of-use, physical safety and societal perception seem to be the strongest adoption predictors. Younger, high-educated males are the group most likely and open to using SMM, while older individuals with lower incomes and a lower level of education tend to be the least likely. ...
Journal article (2025) - Julia Bickel, Nejc Geržinič, Niels van Oort, Menno de Bruyn, Eric Molin
Unplanned train disruptions are a source of passenger dissatisfaction because they are often accompanied by overcrowding and lack of information. To better accommodate passengers during disruptions and preventing travellers from switching to other less sustainable modes of transport, mitigating control strategies can be applied by railway operators. This however requires predicted passenger flows over all available travel options as an input. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic these passenger flows have becomes less predictable, as many travellers have gained an additional feasible alternative to cope with unplanned disruptions on outbound commuter trips − they may return home and start teleworking. Because this travel option is only available to teleworkers and now utilized more than before the COVID-19 pandemic, heterogeneity in route choice behaviour has increased. To fill this knowledge gap and provide predictions of passenger flows, an online survey containing a labelled stated choice experiment was carried out among Dutch train commuters. Consequently, a latent class choice model was estimated to investigate the influence of disruption characteristics, teleworking, COVID-19 risk perception and information provision on travel behaviour during train disruptions in the Netherlands and uncover heterogeneity in behaviour. Our results indicate that the strongest predictors of route choice behaviour are the moment of discovering the disruption, the disruption length and job characteristics. Uncovering four latent classes shows the different valuations of crowding, waiting times and additional travel times among commuters. Commuters with the option to telework are more likely to return back home during disruptions as well as commuters who are sceptic towards the provided information and those who are still conscious of COVID-19. Commuters who cannot telework and trust the provided information are more likely to reroute within the train network whereas commuters who cannot telework and do not trust the provided information are more likely to wait for the disrupted services to resume. ...
Conference paper (2024) - Nejc Geržinič, Mark van Hagen, Dorine Duives, Niels van Oort
Making the mobility sector sustainable is a key part in the transition to a climate- and carbon-neutral society (European Parliament, 2023). For trips too long to be performed by active modes (walking, cycling), public transport is the most sustainable alternative available to travellers. With a high capacity and efficient use of resources, it is ideal for transporting larger numbers of people over longer distances. (Brons et al., 2009).
In the Netherlands, 39% of all train passengers arrive to the station by bicycle, with over half a million bicycle parking spaces offered around the country (Dutch Railways, 2023). And although some travellers have their own bicycle on both the home and activity side of the train trip, most only have a bicycle on their home-end, meaning they have to rely on other forms of transportation on the activity-end, such as walking or local public transport (buses, trams, metros). A bicycle-sharing scheme is also available at almost 300 stations, with over 21 thousand bicycles, resulting in 5.4 million total trips in 2022 (Dutch Railways, 2023).

In recent years, the rise of digitalisation and increased use of smartphones have brought along with them many new shared (electric) (micro)mobility alternatives to the mobility ecosystem, such as car-sharing, (electric) bicycle-sharing, e-scooters, e-steps to name but a few. Currently mainly present in larger cities and used predominantly for shorter trips within urban areas, they do hold the potential to improve the accessibility of public transport stations, especially for more distant access/egress trips due to the assistance of electric motors.

To get a crucial understanding of train travel, micromobility and how they can interact and complement each other, we investigated the perceptions and preferences of individuals; how they perceive these emerging modes, how likely they are to use them and what they find important when making their travel decisions. We looked into the joint access-mode and train station choice, analysing how the quality of access modes and train service at a specific station affect each other; in other words, how do people trade-off attributes from different legs of the same trip. Secondly, we investigated the potential to use various shared mobility services, included a comparison when pitted against the car and bicycle.
Lastly, we evaluated the impact of introducing shared e-mopeds on public transport, considering it as both an egress mode at the activity-end of the trip, as well as a potential competing mode for the main leg of the journey.

We show that more positive perceptions of micromobility and a higher intention to use such services is often linked with past experience using such services, digital savviness (knowing how to use a smartphone), a more multimodal travel behaviour portfolio (particularly frequent use of public transport) and a higher achieved level of education. We analysed latent market segments and uncovered similar patterns, with a somewhat large share of those ready to use (shared) micromobility, with around a quarter of the population being more sceptical, but then also residing in rural areas, having a lower level of education and being less skilled with digital technology.
These results provide valuable insights for policymakers on how to proceed with introducing such services. Selecting the correct policy is vital to achieve a desired modal shift, as introducing new modes can also result in shifts from modes which are already at a satisfactory level (e-mopeds attracting cyclists for example). We show that shared e-mopeds can be both a competitor and ally to public transport, meaning that the service implementation strategy is key to secure the desired outcomes and mitigate the negative side-effects.
Future research should also compare how the various new micromobility services compete with each other for new and existing travellers. Additionally, checking for potential induced demand of such services, both as a the main mode or simply as an access/egress mode, would be valuable for policymakers. ...
Journal article (2024) - Nejc Geržinič, Maurizio van Dalen, Oded Cats
Long-distance / International travel has seen little attention in the past, largely due to the irregular and sporadic nature of such trips. And yet, a single long-distance trip can amount to a distance equivalent to a year’s worth of commute trips, resulting in a similar, if not worse, environmental footprint. Understanding travellers’ behaviour is therefore just as relevant for such trips, as it is for everyday commute trips. As international travel is slowly picking up from the COVID-19 pandemic, it has been marred by an abundance of national and regional pandemic-related safety measures. While their primary goal is to protect the local population from infection, these safety may also make travellers feel safer while travelling. This perceived safety can differ from the true efficacy of the measures. In this research, we investigate people’s perception of eight COVID-19-related safety measures related to long-distance trips and how subjective perception of safety impacts their mode choice among car, train and aircraft. We employ a Hierarchical Information Integration (HII) approach to capture subjective perceptions and then model the obtained data by means of a Latent Class Choice Model, resulting in four distinct segments. To extrapolate the segments onto the rating experiment of HII, we apply a weighted least squares (WLS) regression, to obtain segment-specific safety perception. Two segments show a relatively high value-of-time (72€/h and 50€/h), tend to be more mode-agnostic and prefer determining the level of risk by themselves (relying primarily on infection and vaccination rate). The remaining two segments have a lower value-of-time (38€/h and 15€/h) and have strong mode affinity, for the train and car respectively. Future research could look into a way that segments the sample based on both the mode choice and rating experiment, providing additional insights into the heterogeneity of individuals in their perceptions. ...
Conference paper (2023) - Nejc Geržinič, Maurizio van Dalen, Barth Donners, Oded Cats
This research aims to analyse the perception of covid-19 infection risk in long-distance travel in Europe and how it impacts mode choice and travel behaviour. We make use of an HII variant type experiment and model it by means of a latent class choice model, where we uncover four distinct user groups. For infection risk perception, we apply a novel approach in the field, utilising a weighted least squares regression, to obtain segment-specific regression functions, based on their respective probabilistic segment allocations. Some segments exhibit risk-aversion behaviour that is time-based (longer journeys perceived as more risky), whereas others see it as time-independent. With respect to modal preferences, the four segments either show a strong preference or aversion to one of the two land-based modes: car-loving, car-averse (using train or air), trainloving and train-averse (using car and air). ...
Conference paper (2023) - Nejc Geržinič, Mark van Hagen, Niels van Oort
Het verduurzamen van de mobiliteitssector is een essentieel onderdeel van de transitie naar een klimaat- en CO2-neutrale samenleving. Voor verplaatsingen die te lang zijn voor actieve vervoerwijzen (lopen, fietsen, …), is het openbaar vervoer over het algemeen het meest duurzame alternatief voor reizigers. Met een hoge capaciteit en efficiënt gebruik van middelen is het ideaal voor het vervoeren van grote aantallen mensen over langere afstanden. Een zwakte echter bij het gebruik van het openbaar vervoer is het bekende first/last mile-probleem: voor- en natransport naar en van de halte of station. Gedeelde micromobiliteit kan hier een oplossing bieden. ...
Doctoral thesis (2023) - N. Geržinic, S.P. Hoogendoorn, O. Cats, N. van Oort
Public transport systems have been and continue to be shaped by disruptive forces, impacting individuals’ travel behaviour and how they interact with public transport. This thesis analyses the impact of disruptors on travel behaviour, the perception and use of public transport, enabling operators and policymakers to design appropriate measures and policies in order to improve the quality of service, the sustainability of transport and the liveability of our environment. ...
Journal article (2023) - Alejandro Montes, Nejc Geržinic, Wijnand Veeneman, Niels van Oort, Serge Hoogendoorn
This paper uses stated preference data collected in the city of Rotterdam and discrete choice modelling techniques to study the relationship between public transport and shared micromobility. It assumes a hypothetical condition of integrated systems and studies the relationships of complement and competition between these modes. The findings suggest that shared micromobility modes are viable alternatives as egress modes for metro trips. Shared micromobility can be seen as a complement to metro, yet shared e-mopeds proved to also be a viable option as individual modes for long-distance trips. Different characteristics proved to be important in choices in this context: frequency of public transport use, previous use of shared micromobility, and age. Considering the results obtained, collaboration between shared micromobility and transit operators might benefit them as well as travellers. Collaborations should be designed so that they help travellers to decrease total travel time, even if it implies longer egress legs. However, the costs of these shared modes should not be as high as to prevent travellers to use them as egress alternatives. Finally, young travellers and frequent transit users could be specifically targeted, as they showed to have a better perception of shared micromobility. ...
Journal article (2023) - Nejc Geržinič, Oded Cats, Niels van Oort, Sascha Hoogendoorn-Lanser, Serge Hoogendoorn
On-demand mobility services (FLEX) are often proposed as a solution for the first/last mile problem. We study the potential of using FLEX to improve train station access by means of a three-step sequential stated preference survey. We compare FLEX with the bicycle, car and public transport for accessing two alternative train stations. We estimate a joint access mode and train station choice model. Estimating a latent class choice model with different nesting structures, we uncover four distinct segments in the population. Two segments (∼50%) with a lower Willingness-to-Pay seem to be more likely to take-up FLEX. Ex-urban car drivers seem to be the most likely segment to adopt FLEX, showing great, since members of this segment are currently frequent users of the private car. Our case study also shows that while FLEX competes primarily with public transport when accessing local stations, it competes primarily with car for reaching distant stations. ...
Journal article (2023) - Nejc Geržinič, Oded Cats, Niels van Oort, Sascha Hoogendoorn-Lanser, Michel Bierlaire, Serge Hoogendoorn
Understanding user's perception of service variability is essential to discern their overall perception of any type of (transport) service. We study the perception of waiting time variability for ride-hailing services. We carried out a stated preference survey in August 2021, yielding 936 valid responses. The respondents were faced with static pre-trip information on the expected waiting time, followed by the actually experienced waiting time for their selected alternative. We analyse this data by means of an instance-based learning (IBL) approach to evaluate how individuals respond to service performance variation and how this impacts their future decisions. Different novel specifications of memory fading, captured by the IBL approach, are tested to uncover which describes the user behaviour best. Additionally, existing and new specification of inertia (habit) are tested. Our model outcomes reveal that the perception of unexpected waiting time is within the expected range of 2–3 times the value-of-time. Travellers seem to place a higher reward on an early departure compared to a penalty for a late departure of equal magnitude. A cancelled service, after having made a booking, results in significant disutility for the passenger and a strong motivation to shift to a different provider. Considering memory decay, our results show that the most recent experience is by far the most relevant for the next decision, with memories fading quickly in importance. The role of inertia seems to gain importance with each additional consecutive choice for the same option, but then resetting back to zero following a shift in behaviour. ...
Journal article (2023) - Eveline Loudon, Nejc Geržinič, Eric Molin, Oded Cats
A plethora of shared fleet services have been introduced in cities worldwide. Despite their increased presence in urban areas, it is insofar unknown what are the main determinants of travellers’ choices between the usage of shared-mopeds and cars and thereby the extent to which shared moped can substitute car travel. To this end, we design and conduct an SP choice model experiment. The estimated Panel Mixed Logit model is applied to explore the potential market share for shared moped, car and bike under several scenarios which are devised based on the expert interviews. Our findings demonstrate that the return availability of shared moped is the most influential travel time attribute. Walk time from home to the shared moped is an influential factor for people without moped experience. Moreover, model estimation results show that people who have used a shared moped before value the attributes differently than people without previous moped experience. We specifically focus on choice determinants and policy measures targeting car users to facilitate desirable behavioural changes. We present results from model application to demonstrate the effect of different policy packages on the market share of each mode, showing that certain policy interventions can attract car users to switch to shared moped while avoiding a strong reduction in bike use. ...
Conference paper (2023) - Ralph Van Der Meer, Tessa Leferink, Nejc Geržinič, Jan Anne Annema, Niels van Oort
Neighbourhood mobility hubs may play an important role in mitigating the impact of passenger cars on climate change and urban public space. As a relatively new concept, academic research on the user potential of neighbourhood mobility hubs is so far limited. This research aims to identify which user groups are likely to adopt services offered by a neighbourhood mobility hub. A survey was distributed in the Netherlands (N=298), an Exploratory Factor Analysis (EFA) executed and a Latent Class Cluster Analysis (LCCA) estimated. Four distinctive groups of intended users are uncovered. Two of the clusters have intentions to use neighbourhood mobility hubs. Two other clusters do not (yet) intend to use neighbourhood mobility hubs. The clusters indicate that people who currently already travel more by sustainable modes (train or (e-)bicycle) are more likely to be adopters of neighbourhood mobility hubs than the traditional car users. In practice, this may limit the positive effect of hubs or even increase car use. However it could also facilitate those travelling sustainably to do so for longer as additional shared modes become available to them via hubs. Limitations and directions for further research are discussed. ...
Journal article (2022) - Nejc Geržinič
The Passenger Centre is a crossing point for commuters, day-trippers and international travellers and must therefore provide the best possible public transport services ...
Journal article (2022) - Nejc Geržinič, Niels van Oort, Sascha Hoogendoorn-Lanser, Oded Cats, Serge Hoogendoorn
On-demand mobility services are promising to revolutionise urban travel, but preliminary studies are showing they may actually increase total vehicle miles travelled, worsening road congestion in cities. In this study, we assess the demand for on-demand mobility services in urban areas, using a stated preference survey, to understand the potential impact of introducing on-demand services on the current modal split. The survey was carried out in the Netherlands and offered respondents a choice between bike, car, public transport and on-demand services. 1,063 valid responses are analysed with a multinomial logit and a latent class choice model. By means of the latter, we uncover four distinctive groups of travellers based on the observed choice behaviour. The majority of the sample, the Sharing-ready cyclists (55%), are avid cyclists and do not see on-demand mobility as an alternative for making urban trips. Two classes, Tech-ready individuals (27%) and Flex-ready individuals (9%) would potentially use on-demand services: the former is fairly time-sensitive and would thus use on-demand service if they were sufficiently fast. The latter is highly cost-sensitive, and would therefore use the service primarily if it is cheap. The fourth class, Flex-sceptic individuals (9%) shows very limited potential for using on-demand services. ...
Journal article (2021) - Nejc Geržinič
The integrated timetable concept was developed in Switzerland in the 1980s and is now also being introduced in Austria, Germany and Denmark. What is it and what could be gained? ...