On-board crowding in public transportation has significant impact on passengers' travel experience. New land-use planning configurations can have wide-ranging crowding effects in the public transportation system. Nevertheless, there is a lack of knowledge on the crowding implications caused by new urban developments. In this study, we propose a method for quantifying the network-wide crowding implications of a new urban development. We apply the method to different kinds of urban developments in terms of type, size, location, proximity to high-capacity public transportation connections as well as socioeconomic characteristics. Size and proximity to a high-capacity connection are highly influential factors in determining the value and the geographical extent of the crowding implications. The analysis proposed in this paper can serve as a tool for the ex-post quantification of the on-board crowding impacts using automated data sources. The insights gained can be utilized in more efficient dimensioning of the supply (service) for newly developed areas as well as for placement of future urban developments accounting for the resulting crowding effects.

On-board crowding in public transportation has a significant impact on passengers' travel experience. However, there is little knowledge of how different passenger groups contribute to on-board crowding. Empirical knowledge of specific passenger groups' impact on the system facilitates more effective tuning of policy instruments such as new fare structures, dedicated public transportation services, infrastructure investments, and capacity provision. We propose a method to capture the crowding contributions from selected passenger groups by means of smart card data analytics. Two crowding contribution metrics at the passenger journey level are proposed: (1) time-weighted contribution to load factor and (2) maximum contribution to load factor. We apply the proposed method to the multimodal public transportation system of Region Stockholm, Sweden. We demonstrate the method for two groups: school students, and passengers traversing Stockholm's inner city. Our findings indicate that school students and passengers traversing the inner city have similar crowding contributions, utilizing 15 % and 11 % of the seating capacity across all modes during the AM and the PM peak, respectively. The commuter rail network, as well as some of the areas neighboring it, experience on average more than 70 % and 90 % utilization of their seating capacity during the AM peak, by school students and passengers traversing the inner city, respectively.