Ex-post assessment of public transportation on-board crowding induced by new urban developments
Αnastasios Skoufas (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
Matej Cebecauer (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
Wilco Burghout (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
Erik Jenelius (KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
Oded Cats (TU Delft - Transport and Planning, KTH Royal Institute of Technology)
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Abstract
On-board crowding in public transportation has significant impact on passengers' travel experience. New land-use planning configurations can have wide-ranging crowding effects in the public transportation system. Nevertheless, there is a lack of knowledge on the crowding implications caused by new urban developments. In this study, we propose a method for quantifying the network-wide crowding implications of a new urban development. We apply the method to different kinds of urban developments in terms of type, size, location, proximity to high-capacity public transportation connections as well as socioeconomic characteristics. Size and proximity to a high-capacity connection are highly influential factors in determining the value and the geographical extent of the crowding implications. The analysis proposed in this paper can serve as a tool for the ex-post quantification of the on-board crowding impacts using automated data sources. The insights gained can be utilized in more efficient dimensioning of the supply (service) for newly developed areas as well as for placement of future urban developments accounting for the resulting crowding effects.
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