In response to the escalating demand for rail transport, the concept of Virtual Coupling (VC) train operations is progressively gaining ground within the railway sector. The concept of VC aims at reducing safe train separation to less than the absolute braking distance by letting trains move synchronously in radio-connected convoys. One of the major concerns associated with VC is ensuring safe train separation considering realistic risk factors, such as heterogeneous train braking performances and varying track conditions. To address such a safe train separation problem under VC, this paper proposes a novel train control model based on the Artificial Potential Field (APF) method to safely supervise the complete braking process of trains moving in a VC convoy. The proposed model uses a homogeneous strip representation of train length and a Dynamic Safety Margin (DSM) to take into account accurate train dynamics as well as potential risk factors, due to different train acceleration/braking rates, communication delays, unexpected emergency train braking applications, and position measurement errors. The method has been applied to the case of a high-speed line in China. Results show that the APF-based control method can effectively adapt to real-time variations in train dynamics and the operational environment to safely supervise the complete train braking process and avoid collisions even in the case of unplanned emergency braking applications. The proposed APF-based approach shows promising real-time performance which can further contribute to advancing the state of the art on safe train control under VC signalling.

Regional non-electrified railway networks require replacement of diesel traction to meet increasingly stringent emission reduction targets. Since full electrification of these networks is often not economically viable due to their low utilization, battery-electric multiple units (BEMUs) are recognized as a potentially suitable long-term solution, offering zero-emission train operation while requiring only partial tracks electrification. One of the main challenges when introducing BEMUs is determining an optimal electrification layout, i.e. the location and the length of electrified track sections while taking into account the vehicles’ and infrastructure technical characteristics and constraints alongside the requirements related to maintaining current timetable and quality of service. This paper formulates this as an intermittent partial electrification network design problem and develops an optimization framework that integrates high-fidelity BEMU simulation model in deriving a cost-optimized network electrification configuration. The proposed method is demonstrated using the existing non-electrified regional railway network in the Netherlands with the rolling stock and transport services of Arriva as a case. The obtained solution provides about 30% lower capital costs compared to the conventional continuous partial electrification approach, and about 3.5 times cut in these costs compared to the fully electrified network. Additionally, further costs reduction is observed by increasing the maximum current absorption limits at standstill and by introducing flexibility in terms of operational margins.

Automatic Train Operation (ATO) aims to partially or fully automate train driving, enhancing railway capacity, punctuality, and energy efficiency. However, a key challenge arises from the mismatch between discrete event-time decisions at the Traffic Management System (TMS) level, assuming fixed running times, and the continuous speed–distance trajectory optimisation at the ATO level, leading to possible misalignments between planned and executed train movements. To bridge this gap, this paper introduces a novel optimisation-based method that dynamically computes Train Path Envelopes (TPEs) based on multiple driving strategies, defined as time targets or windows over a sequence of timing points, which ATO-equipped trains must comply with to align their movements with traffic management constraints. The method follows a two-stage approach: First, a linear programming model determines conflict-free blocking time ranges across the multiple driving strategies. Second, a structured optimisation process establishes operationally feasible TPEs by determining departure tolerances and configuring intermediate timing points. By integrating a critical-block strategy, the optimised TPEs provide the flexibility needed for ATO while accommodating variations in train driving strategies. The method is validated through experiments and a real-life case study in The Netherlands, demonstrating that optimised timing points at critical track locations improve energy efficiency, enhance punctuality, increase capacity, and provide an approach to align traffic management with ATO.

Train passenger demand fluctuates throughout the day. In order to let train services, such as the line plan and timetable, match this fluctuating demand, insights are needed into how the demand is changing and for which periods the demand is relatively stable. Hierarchical clustering on both regular and normalized origin–destination (OD) data is used to determine for each workday continuous time-of-day periods in which the passenger demand is homogeneous. The periods found for each workday are subsequently used as input in a clustering algorithm to look for similarities and differences between workdays. The methods for finding homogeneous periods during the day and week are applied to a case study covering a large part of the railway network in the Netherlands. We find large differences between the periods based on regular OD matrices and those based on normalized OD matrices. The periods based on regular OD matrices are more compact in terms of passenger volumes and average kms travelled and therefore more suitable to use as input for designing a service plan. Comparison of different workdays shows that mainly the peak periods on Friday are far away from Monday to Thursday, and hence could benefit from an altered service plan.

Moving Block (MB) and Virtual Coupling (VC) rail signalling will change current train operation paradigm by migrating vital equipment from trackside to onboard to reduce train separation and maintenance costs. Their actual deployment is however constrained by the industry's need to identify configurations of MB and VC signalling equipment which can effectively guarantee safe train movements even under degraded operational conditions involving component faults. In this paper, we analyse the effectivity of MB and VC in safely supervising train separation under nominal and degraded conditions by using an innovative approach which combines Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Stochastic Activity Networks (SAN). An FTA model of unsafe train movement is defined for both MB and VC capturing functional interactions and cause-effect relations among the different signalling components. The FTA is used as a basis to apportion signalling component failure rates needed to feed the SAN model. Effective MB and VC train supervision is analysed by means of SAN-based simulations in the specific scenario of an error in the Train Position Report (TPR) for five rail market segments featuring different traffic characteristics, namely high-speed, mainline, regional, urban and freight. Results show that the thresholds of the design variables depend on the considered signalling system alternative and the investigated market segment. In particular, the TPR delay threshold allowed for MB is higher than for VC. This means that to ensure a safe train movement, VC cannot absorb a TPR delay of longer than 1.5 s, which corresponds to the mainline market segment. For MB instead, the results show that the maximum TPR delay can reach 3.9 s for high-speed and freight railways. In addition, results showed that the integration of an FTA in a SAN model can provide a better understanding of the safety-performance behaviour of a system where VC showed a higher number of braking indications with respect to MB for the same TPR error failure rate. This means that for VC to effectively supervise the train separation at the same safety level as MB, we would need to have a much higher reliability of the TPR. The overall approach can support infrastructure managers, railway undertakings, and rail signalling suppliers in investigating the effectiveness of MB and VC to safely supervise train movements in scenarios involving different types of degraded conditions and failure events. The proposed method can hence support the railway industry in identifying effective and safe design configurations of next-generation rail signalling systems.

This paper presents a method for estimating Well-to-Wheel (WTW) energy use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions attributed to the advanced railway propulsion systems implemented in conjunction with different energy carriers and their production pathways. The analysis encompasses diesel-electric multiple unit vehicles converted to their hybrid-electric, plug-in hybrid-electric, fuel cell hybrid-electric or battery-electric counterparts, combined with biodiesel or hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) as the first and second generation biofuels, liquefied natural gas (LNG), hydrogen and/or electricity. The method is demonstrated using non-electrified regional railway network with heterogeneous vehicle fleet in the Netherlands as a case. Battery-electric system utilizing green electricity is identified as the only configuration leading to emission-free transport while offering the highest energy use reduction by 65–71% compared to the current diesel-powered hybrid-electric system. When using grey electricity based on the EU2030 production mix, these savings are reduced to about 27–39% in WTW energy use and around 68–73% in WTW GHG emissions. Significant reductions in overall energy use and emissions are obtained for the plug-in hybrid-electric concept when combining diesel, LNG, or waste cooking oil-based HVO with electricity. The remaining configurations that reduce energy use and GHG emissions are hybrid-electric systems running on LNG or HVO from waste cooking oil. The latter led to approximately 88% lower WTW emissions than the baseline for each vehicle type. When produced from natural gas or EU2030-mix-based electrolysis, hydrogen negatively affected both aspects, irrespective of the prime mover technology. However, when produced via green electricity, it offers a GHG reduction of approximately 90% for hybrid-electric and fuel cell hybrid-electric configurations, with a further reduction of up to 92–93% if combined with green electricity in plug-in hybrid-electric systems. The results indicate that HVO from waste cooking oil could be an effective and instantly implementable transition solution towards carbon–neutral regional trains, allowing for a smooth transition and development of supporting infrastructure required for more energy-efficient and environment-friendly technologies.

In case of disturbed railway operations, traffic management can apply rescheduling measures to resolve conflicts while minimising delay propagation. This can be optimised by conflict detection and resolution (CDR) models. Usually based on alternative graph or mixed integer linear programming (MILP) formulations, existing models mostly refer to conventional signalling systems in which the track is discretised into blocks. Only at block entries, trains can receive a brake indication. Hence, train separation distances are based on a number of blocks. With the implementation of continuous braking curve supervision in distance-to-go (DTG) signalling systems such as the European Train Control System (ETCS), train separation is based on absolute braking distances. Consequently, an explicit relation between speed and train separation is required in CDR models for DTG signalling. Recently, we enhanced the CDR model RECIFE-MILP to DTG operations. The enhancements relate to track discretisation and speed-dependent train separation. In this research, we investigate the effect of track discretisation granularity on the performance of the enhanced model for next-generation DTG signalling systems: ETCS Level 3 Fixed Virtual Block and Moving Block. The performance is assessed regarding total delay and rescheduling decisions. The results indicate that, depending on the track and traffic scenario, a finer granularity can lead to different rescheduling decisions due to shorter train separation.

This chapter presents applications, challenges, and opportunities for the integration of artificial intelligence in rail transport, based on the current results of the European project Roadmaps for AI integration in the rail sector (RAILS). Past and ongoing research directions are briefly outlined, and then the regulatory landscape is presented as well as the main barriers to overcome. Some technical aspects are addressed to provide some valuable references, and a high-level description of ongoing research work is given, spanning from innovative studies on smart maintenance, collision avoidance, delay prediction, and incident attribution analysis to visionary scenarios such as intelligent control and virtual coupling.

Running time calculation is an essential ingredient in train timetabling. Traditionally, the technical minimum running times are computed in detail after which a running time supplement is added to obtain the scheduled running times. This running time supplement must be translated into lower cruising speeds or coasting regimes to cover the entire scheduled running time for on-time running. How this is done determines the exact time-distance train paths and the energy consumption of the trains. This chapter explains how train trajectory optimization can be used to compute energy-efficient train trajectories between two stops, over multiple stops including the optimal allocation of running time supplements between the stops, and over corridors considering the track occupation of multiple trains. It is argued that microscopic train timetabling based on energy-efficient train trajectories and blocking time theory is required to design robust conflict-free timetables that enable energy-efficient train operation. The theory is illustrated with many examples under realistic conditions, such as varying gradients and speed restrictions.

This deliverable contains the output of the activities performed for Task 4.3 “Guidelines on integrated traffic management architectures for safe and optimised moving-block operations” of the EC Shift2Rail PERFORMINGRAIL project. A real-time model for Moving Block traffic conflict detection and resolution is mathematically specified based on the formulation introduced in Deliverable D4.1. A mathematical formulation of the RECIFE-MILP rescheduling tool extended for Moving Block rail operations is reported together with a detailed description of the objective function and constraints. The proposed MB traffic conflict detection and resolution model is then verified for a given network layout and compared to the original RECIFE-MILP formulation for fixed-block to assess modelling and performance impacts of introduced MB constraints. A validation has successively investigated the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed MB traffic management algorithm by testing it on two real railway networks in France (Gonesse junction and a portion on the Paris-Le Havre line) for different traffic scenarios. The validation experiment shows that with respect to fixed-block, Moving block can reduce delay propagation especially: i) for junctions where trains are not stopping, ii) in denser peak-hour traffic and iii) when train rerouting decisions are taken. A detailed description is the provided for the early-warning MB hazard prediction modules introduced in PERFORMINGRAIL Deliverable D4.1. A specification of input/output data and main functionalities is reported together with practical examples illustrating the usefulness of those modules in mitigating potential MB safety risks in the short and medium term. A functional TMS architecture is then defined for a safe and optimised real-time management of MB traffic operations. Guidelines are outlined for the different functional TMS modules, specifying input/output data, main functionalities and interactions with other components within and without the TMS. A set of recommendations is eventually provided to support both science and the industry in further development and implementation of functional modules and an advanced TMS architecture for MB rail traffic. Recommendations particularly refer to novel modules introduced in PERFORMINGRAIL, namely the MB conflict detection and resolution and the early-warning MB hazard prediction models. In addition, indications are given for further development and practical implementation of the proposed functional TMS architecture for safe and optimised MB railway operations. The main highlighted points regard the need of interfacing current Traffic Monitoring systems with satellite-based train location systems as the removal of track-side train detection will compromise the use of existing train describers. That also leads to then necessity of the TMS architecture to include proposed modules for early-warning hazard prediction to mitigate safety risks which can arise for MB in locations with compromised GNSS or GSM-R signal availability. Another essential recommendation refers to data interface standardisation to enable seamless communication among functional modules within the TMS and with external supporting systems.

This chapter gives the basic conclusions about energy-efficient train operation covering energy-efficient train driving, energy-efficient train timetabling, regenerative braking, energy storage systems and power supply networks. Future work that will develop energy-efficient train operation further include the interaction of connected driver advisory systems (C-DAS) and automatic train operation (ATO) with railway traffic management systems, cooperative train control in platoons of virtually coupled trains, digital twin technology and particularly its application to power supply systems, and the interaction between the railway network with the electrical power grid and renewable energy generation.

Disruptions occur frequently in railway networks, requiring timetable adjustments, while causing serious delays and cancellations. However, little is known about the performance dynamics during disruptions nor the extent to which the resilience curve applies in practice. This paper presents a data-driven quantification approach for an ex-post assessment of the resilience of railway networks. Using historical traffic realization data in the Netherlands, resilience curves are reconstructed using a new composite indicator, and quantified for a large set of single disruptions. The values of the resilience metrics are compared across disruptions of different causes using Welch's ANOVA and the Games-Howell test. Additionally, representative resilience curves for each disruption cause are determined. Results show a significant heterogeneity in the shape of the resilience curves, even within disruptions of the same cause. The proposed approach represents a useful decision support tool for practitioners to assess disruptions dynamics and propose best measures to improve resilience.

Train passenger demand fluctuates throughout the day and week and these fluctuations are expected to increase due to the COVID-19 pandemic. In order to let train services, such as the line plan and timetable, match this fluctuating demand, insights are needed into how the demand is changing and for which periods the demand is relatively stable. Hierarchical clustering on origin-destination (OD) data is used to determine for each workday continuous time-of-day periods in which the passenger demand is homogeneous. The periods found for each workday are subsequently used as input in a clustering algorithm to look for similarities and differences between workdays. Both normalized and regular OD matrices are tested as input for the method. In normalized OD matrices, only the structure of the demand is captured, while in the regular OD matrices both the structure and the volume of the demand are included. The methods for finding homogeneous periods in demand during the day and week are applied to a case study covering a large part of the railway network in the Netherlands. We find large differences between the periods based on regular OD matrices and those based on normalized OD matrices. The periods based on regular OD matrices seem more appropriate to use as input for designing a service plan. Comparison of the periods over the week shows that mainly the peak periods on Friday are far away from Monday to Thursday, and hence could benefit from an altered service plan.

Moving Block (MB) and Virtual Coupling (VC) rail signalling will change current train operation paradigm by migrating vital equipment from trackside to onboard to reduce train separation and maintenance costs. Their actual deployment is however constrained by the industry’s need to identify configurations of MB and VC signalling equipment which can effectively guarantee safe train movements even under degraded operational conditions involving component faults. In this paper, we analyse the effectivity of MB and VC in safely supervising train separation under nominal and degraded conditions by using an innovative approach which combines Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) and Stochastic Activity Network (SAN). A FTA model of unsafe train movement is defined for both MB and VC capturing functional interactions and cause effect relations among the different signalling components. The FTA is then used as a basis to apportion signalling component failure rates needed to feed the SAN model. Effective MB and VC train supervision is analysed by means of SAN-based simulations in the specific scenario of an error in the Train Position Reporting (TPR) for five rail market segments featuring different traffic characteristics, namely high-speed, mainline, regional, urban and freight. Results show that the overall approach can support infrastructure managers, railway undertakings, and rail system suppliers in investigating effectiveness of MB and VC in safely supervising train movements in scenarios involving different types of degraded conditions and failure events. The proposed method can hence support the railway industry in identifying effective and safe design configurations of next-generation rail signalling systems.

In this chapter, applications of artificial intelligence (AI) in railway traffic planning and management (RTPM) are discussed. To begin, a definition of AI is offered with a particular emphasis on its relationship with RTPM. This is followed by a systematic literature review of the state-of-the-art of AI in RTPM covering strategic, tactical, and operational challenges. Next, a transferability analysis is conducted of AI approaches for traffic planning and management from related sectors to railways, specifically from aviation and road transport. The results show that the majority of AI research in RTPM is still in its infancy. Several future research areas that are important to academic and professional communities in AI and RTPM are identified based on reviews and analysis of transferability.

A large variety of supervision, data analysis and communication algorithms monitor trains, exploiting most of their available computational power. On-board eco-driving algorithms such as Driver Advisory Systems are no exception, as the computational power available can limit their complexity and features. This was the case of Roltijd, the in-house developed Driver Advisory System based on coasting advice of Nederlandse Spoorwegen (NS), the main Dutch passenger railway undertaking. This platform cal-culated the coasting curves at every second by integrating the equations of motion numerically, assuming that the track is fl at. However, the plans of NS regarding gener-ating more complex driving advice require replacing this coasting curve calculation by a more computationally-effi cient algorithm. In this article we propose a new coasting advice algorithm based on the analytical solutions of the train motion model’s diff er-ential equations that assumes the gradients and speed limits as piecewise constant functions of the train location. We analyze the qualitative properties of these solutions using the theory of dynamical systems, showing that bifurcations arise depending on the value of the gradient and the applied tractive eff ort. We validate the proposed algorithm by comparing its performance and accuracy against the previous method and a train trajectory optimizer based on a pseudospectral method, fi nding that our algorithm is accurate and can be 15 times faster than the previous method. This allows NS to implement the proposed method on the trains running in the Dutch railway network, contributing daily to the sustainable mobility of 1.3 million passengers.

Developments in the railway industry are continuously evolving and long-term transition strategies can enable an efficient implementation of signalling technologies that provide a significant increase in network capacity and operation efficiency. Virtual Coupling (VC) advances moving block signalling by further reducing train separation to less than an absolute braking distance using train-to-train communication and cooperative train control within a Virtually-Coupled Train Set (VCTS). This paper proposes a method to develop scenario-based roadmaps based on a SWOT and hybrid Delphi-AHP multi-criteria analysis. Step-changes are identified and initially assessed in a Swimlane based on priorities and time order collected from stakeholders through a survey and further developed in a workshop. Optimistic and pessimistic scenarios are assessed regarding various factors and timelines. Step-changes are initially defined in a Swimlane and then enriched with optimistic and pessimistic scenarios to ultimately derive scenario-based roadmaps. Durations for each of the step-changes are developed into scenario-based roadmaps that can be used as an efficient tool for stakeholders to identify and solve potential criticalities/risks to the deployment of VC as well as to setup investment and development plans. The approach is applied to deliver implementation roadmaps of VC for different market segments with particular focus on mainline railways.

Automatic Train Operation (ATO) is a technology to support or automate train driving for increasing service punctuality, energy efficiency and rail infrastructure capacity. Conflict-free train path planning is crucial to the effective deployment of ATO, which allows ATO-equipped trains to operate according to schedule with different train driving strategies. As different train driving strategies lead to various passing times, current planning practice is inadequate to avoid route conflicts as it only sets target arrival or passing times at stops or major junctions. Therefore, conflict-free train path planning needs the definition of a Train Path Envelope (TPE) that contains time targets or windows defined at discrete locations called timing points to tolerate schedule deviations due to different driving styles. The number and location of the timing points, as well as the associated time targets or windows, is a decision problem. This paper proposes a framework to design a robust set of timing points and their associated time windows in a TPE to enable operational conflict-free train path planning against the driving strategies utilised. This framework relies on a Train Path Slot model which extends the definition of TPE from time windows at a discrete set of locations to an integrated blocking time stairway pattern continuously defined across all locations over a train route. The Train Path Slot model considers three relevant train driving strategies, i.e., energy-efficient driving with or without coasting as well as minimum-time driving considering slight delays. A Linear Programming model is formulated to compute the conflict-free Train Path Slots as constraints for train operation. To meet the optimised Train Path Slots, we analyse several possible sets of timing points in a TPE that are only located at stops or signal positions along the train routes. Those timing point sets are then compared in terms of total Train Path Slot overlap time, capacity, energy efficiency and driving performance indicators. Our research supports infrastructure managers in resolving the imminent problem of timing point determination and TPE computation to reach their capacity goals. At the same time, it allows sufficient driving flexibility for railway undertakings.

Supervision, data analysis and communication algorithms monitor trains, exploiting most of their available computational power. On-board eco-driving algorithms such as Driver Advisory Systems (DAS) are no exception, as the computational power available limits their complexity and features. This was the case of Roltijd, the in-house developed DAS based on coasting advice of NS, the main Dutch passenger railway undertaking. This platform calculated the coasting curves at every second by integrating the equations of motion numerically, assuming that the track is flat. However, generating more complex driving advice required replacing this coasting curve calculation by a more computationally-efficient algorithm. In this article we propose a new coasting advice algorithm based on the analytical solutions of the train motion model, assuming that gradients and speed limits are piecewise constant functions of the train location. We analyse the qualitative properties of these solutions using bifurcation theory, showing that bifurcations arise depending on the value of the gradient and the applied tractive effort. We validate the proposed algorithm, finding that our algorithm is accurate and can be 15 times faster than the previous method. This allowed NS to implement our algorithm on their trains, contributing daily to the sustainable mobility of 1.3 million passengers.

Hydrogen fuel cell multiple unit vehicles are acquiring a central role in the transition process towards carbon neutral trains operation in non-electrified regional railway networks. In addition to their primary role as a transport mean, these vehicles offer significant potential for applications in innovative concepts such as smart grids. Compared to the pure electric propulsion systems, fuel cell technology allows for cogeneration processes by recovering generated heat in addition to the provision of the electrical power. This paper presents the analysis of fuel cell hybrid-electric multiple unit vehicle employed in regional railway transport during regular service, and in vehicle-to-grid application during the off-service hours, providing the electrical and thermal energy for stationary consumers in terminal stations. The system dynamics are modelled using a backward-looking quasi-static simulation approach, with implemented real-time optimization-based control strategy for managing the power flows between different components. In a case study of selected vehicle and railway services in the Netherlands, the fuel cell system showed average hydrogen consumption of 0.4 kg/km, with the overall electrical efficiency of 38.89%. In vehicle-to-grid scenario, the system satisfied complete stationary power demand, and provided about 327 kWh of thermal energy during 2-h operation, reaching the overall cogeneration efficiency of 66.81%.