Long-term strategies for flood risk management

Scenario definition and strategic alternative design

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Published Date

28-11-2008

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T14-08-01

Abstract

Flood risk management requires policy making for a relatively far and largely unknown future. Task 14 of Theme 2 in FLOODsite aims to provide methodological guidance on how to perform the design/development of long term strategic alternatives for flood risk management and how to assess their performance in different future scenarios. To begin with, this report reviews some mainstream existing methods of scenario development and use, as well as experiences with the design and assessment of strategic alternatives for flood risk management. Next, a procedure and methods are proposed and discussed. Thirdly, the procedure and methods are tried on the Schelde Estuary and the Thames Estuary and, finally, conclusions are drawn.