Probabilistic Design: Risk and Reliability Analysis in Civil Engineering

Experimental results about the assessments of conditional rank correlations by experts: Example with air pollution estimates

Science-based models often involve substantial uncertainty that must be quantified in a defendable way. Shortage of empirical data inevitably requires input from expert judgment. How this uncertainty is best elicited can be critical to a decision process, as differences in efficacy and robustness of the elicitation methods can be substantial....