Chimera: An atlas of regular vines on up to 8 nodes

Vine copulas have become the standard tool for modelling complex probabilistic dependence. It has been shown that the number of regular vines grows extremely quickly with the number of nodes. Chimera is the first attempt to map the vast space of regular vines. Software for operating with regular vines is available for R, matlab and Python....

ANDURIL - A MATLAB toolbox for ANalysis and Decisions with UnceRtaInty: Learning from expert judgments

The Classical model (or Cooke’s model) for elicitation and combination of expert judgments has been used in science and engineering since at least the early 1990’s. The most widely used program for applications of this model is EXCALIBUR. However, its code is not available for practitioners, which limits the accessibility and potential of the...

A Copula-Based Bayesian Network for Modeling Compound Flood Hazard from Riverine and Coastal Interactions at the Catchment Scale: An Application to the Houston Ship Channel, Texas

Traditional flood hazard analyses often rely on univariate probability distributions; however, in many coastal catchments, flooding is the result of complex hydrodynamic interactions between multiple drivers. For example, synoptic meteorological conditions can produce considerable rainfall-runoff, while also generating wind-driven elevated sea...

Trends in flood losses in Europe over the past 150 years

Adverse consequences of floods change in time and are influenced by both natural and socio-economic trends and interactions. In Europe, previous studies of historical flood losses corrected for demographic and economic growth (‘normalized’) have been limited in temporal and spatial extent, leading to an incomplete representation of trends in...