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Luteijn-Nava Guerrero, G.D.C. (author), Schwarz, P. (author), Slinger, J (author)
Modelling and simulation aim to reproduce the structure and imitate the behavior of real-life systems. For complex dynamic systems, System Dynamics (SD) and Agent-based (AB) modelling are two widely used modelling paradigms that prior to the early 2010’s have traditionally been viewed as mutually exclusive alternatives. This literature review...
conference paper 2016
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Klein, Raphael (author), Meeuwsen, Sjoerd (author), Slinger, J (author)
Flood defences are a key issue in low lying coastal areas. These defences can protect the economy of hinterland regions along with countless lives. A onceptually simple abstraction of the complexity of a flood defence system is formulated in system dynamics. This model is based on a ring dike concept as used in The Netherlands. The model is...
conference paper 2016
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Clifford Holmes, J.K.V. (author), Pollard, S (author), Biggs, H (author), Chihambakwe, Kundai (author), Jonker, Willem (author), York, Theo (author), Andres Diaz, Fabio (author), Slinger, J (author)
In this paper, we report on a concerted modelling effort in the South African water resources sector in which system dynamics provides the paradigmatic framing for both a stakeholder engagement process and for developing an underpinning, integrative simulation model. We describe the design of the parallel modelling approach and examine the...
conference paper 2016
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van Waas, R (author), Slinger, J (author), van Splunter, S. (author)
This article explores the use of a System Dynamics model as a boundary object in a case study regarding decision-making on water scarcity in South Africa. The model integrates expertise from the hydrological and ecological sciences with socio-economic information for a specific area, the Mossel Bay region. The model proved to be adaptable to...
conference paper 2015
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Eker, S. (author), Djong, J. (author), Leston, D. (author)
Rabies is a viral fatal disease transmitted to humans mainly from dogs. Human deaths due to rabies have been increasing in recent years, especially in Africa and Asia where socioeconomic factors play an important role in the revival of the epidemic. In the current situation, it is unknown how the epidemic will evolve and which policies can...
conference paper 2014
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Rose, A.C. (author)
This report presents a first look study at the field of System Dynamics. The objective of the study is to perform a model-based policy analysis in order to investigate the future advancement of the System Dynamics field. The aim of this investigation is to determine what this advancement should look like and how that can be accomplished. Several...
conference paper 2014
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Van Daalen, C. (author), Schaffernicht, M. (author), Mayer, I. (author)
This paper deals with the relationship between serious games and system dynamics. Games have been used in SD since the beginning. However, the field of serious gaming also has its own development. The purpose of this contribution is to provide a broad overview of the combination of serious gaming and SD and discuss the state of the art and...
conference paper 2014
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Eker, S. (author), Van Daalen, C. (author)
Bio-methane is a renewable gas option that can be injected to the natural gas grids to increase the sustainability of the energy system and to deal with natural gas supply problems. However, being based on several factors such as resource availability, competition between bio-methane and electricity sectors for biogas and biomass supply, demand,...
conference paper 2014
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Hesan, R. (author), Ghorbani, A. (author), Dignum, M.V. (author)
In system dynamics modeling, differential equations have been used as the basic mathematical operator. Using difference equation to build system dynamics models instead of differential equation, can be insightful for studying small organizations or systems with micro behavior. In this paper we explain how we can use difference equations to build...
conference paper 2014
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Van Staveren, R. (author), Jaxa-Rozen, M. (author)
Mizoram, a state in the Northeast of India, is affected every half-century by cycles of crop damages and famines. These events - locally known as Mautam - have been hypothesized to follow the periodic flowering of bamboo forests and subsequent rodent outbreaks. As such, the 1958-1960 Mautam resulted in a significant loss of lives; more recently,...
conference paper 2014
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Srivatsav, N. (author), Jaxa-Rozen, M. (author), Van Staveren, R. (author)
This draft paper describes the preliminary outcomes of a model-based investigation of longterm strategies to reduce the impacts of coastal flooding in Bangladesh. Specifically, a system dynamics model was constructed to simulate the effect of flood mitigation methods on the population, rural economy, housing and welfare of Bangladeshis in the...
conference paper 2014
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Pruyt, E. (author)
Although SD modeling is sometimes called theory-rich data-poor modeling, it does not mean SD modeling should per definition be data-poor. SD software packages allow one to get data from, and write simulation runs to, databases. Moreover, data is also sometimes used in SD to calibrate parameters or bootstrap parameter ranges. But more could and...
conference paper 2014
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Papachristos, G. (author), Van de Kaa, G. (author)
There is considerable literature on format competition with several review articles establishing lists of factors that are thought to apply broadly in such contexts. However, the literature is not unequivocal regarding some factors that apparently can have a reinforcing or balancing effect on format adoption and dominance. This paper attempts to...
conference paper 2014
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Clifford Holmes, J.K. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author), Musango, J.K. (author), Brent, A.C. (author), Palmer, C.G. (author)
This paper explores the challenges faced by small municipalities in providing water services in a developing-world context of increasing urban demand. The paper uses a case study of the Sundays River Valley Municipality (SRVM) in South Africa. The municipality faces multiple dilemmas in reconciling its available water supply with growing demand...
conference paper 2014
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D'Hont, F. (author), Slinger, J.H. (author), Goessen, P. (author)
As quantitative modelling can be used to build stakeholder understanding for management decisions, and can help build consensus (Stave, 2003), a system dynamics modelling study of the abiotic dynamics of an archetypical small estuary, the Slufter in the Netherlands is formulated. The model is used in combination with an analysis of stakeholders’...
conference paper 2014
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Zhang, C. (author), Qin, C. (author)
This research is conducted to explore the growing trend of private vehicles in Beijing, China, in the coming 25 years using the system dynamics (SD) method. The vensim software is used to build the SD model and do simulations. First, the paper introduces the background of the private vehicles in Beijing and analyzes the issues of traffic...
conference paper 2014
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Kuipers, J. (author)
A study was performed by the author on formal analysis of uncertain non-linear systems in the context of System Dynamics (SD). The objective of this study was to develop a more insightful method to classify model behaviour for exploratory modelling. The long term vision of this study is more efficient, more exhaustive and more insightful model...
conference paper 2014
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Moorlag, R. (author), Auping, W.L. (author), Pruyt, E. (author)
Now that conventional gas resources are rapidly declining in many industrialised regions, national governments are considering the exploration and production of unconventional resources, with shale gas in particular. Large-scale development of these resources could significantly lower import dependency of the gas supply of many countries. The...
conference paper 2014
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Auping, W.L. (author)
The copper case is often used as an example in resource depletion studies. Despite these studies, several profound uncertainties remain in the system. One of these uncertainties is the distribution of copper grades in the lithosphere. The Skinner thesis promotes the idea that copper grades may be distributed with a bimodal distribution instead...
conference paper 2014
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Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Auping, W.L. (author), Pruyt, E. (author)
conference paper 2014
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