Comparing the accuracy of several network-based COVID-19 prediction algorithms

Researchers from various scientific disciplines have attempted to forecast the spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The proposed epidemic prediction methods range from basic curve fitting methods and traffic interaction models to machine-learning approaches. If we combine all these approaches, we obtain the Network Inference-based...

Spreading processes in complex networks and systems

Complex systems are made up of many interconnected components. The interactions between components further produce emerging complex collective behaviors. In most cases, a complex system can be represented as a network in which the nodes represent the elements and the connected links illustrate the interactions. The spreading process is one of...

Network-inference-based prediction of the COVID-19 epidemic outbreak in the Chinese province Hubei

At the moment of writing, the future evolution of the COVID-19 epidemic is unclear. Predictions of the further course of the epidemic are decisive to deploy targeted disease control measures. We consider a network-based model to describe the COVID-19 epidemic in the Hubei province. The network is composed of the cities in Hubei and their...