Analysis and prediction of ridership impacts during planned public transport disruptions

Urban metro and tram networks are regularly subject to planned disruptions, including closures, resulting from the need to maintain and renew infrastructure. In this study, we first empirically analyse the passenger demand response to planned public transport disruptions based on individual passenger travel behaviour, based on which we infer...

Predicting disruptions and their passenger delay impacts for public transport stops

Disruptions in public transport can have major implications for passengers and service providers. Our study objective is to develop a generic approach to predict how often different disruption types occur at different stations of a public transport network, and to predict the impact related to these disruptions as measured in terms of...

A robust transfer inference algorithm for public transport journeys during disruptions

Disruptions in public transport have major impact on passengers and disproportional effects on passenger satisfaction. The availability of smart card data gives opportunities to better quantify disruption impacts on passengers’ experienced journey travel time and comfort. For this, accurate journey inference from raw transaction data is required...

Exposing the role of exposure: Identifying and evaluating critical links in public transport networks

Network vulnerability depends on the probability that adverse events occur and on the impacts of such disruptions on network functionality. Most studies on transport network vulnerability have only analysed vulnerability in terms of the reduction in performance indicators given that a disruption occurs. This study presents and applies a method...