New estimates of potential impacts of sea level rise and coastal floods in Poland

Polish coastal zone is thought to be one of the most exposed to sea level rise in Europe. With mean sea levels expected to increase between 28 and 98 cm by the end of the century, and storms increasing in severity, accurate estimates of the consequences of those phenomena are needed. Recent advances in quality and availability of spatial data in...

Salt marshes for flood risk reduction: Quantifying long-term effectiveness and life-cycle costs

Flood risks are increasing worldwide due to climate change and ongoing economic and demographic development in coastal areas. Salt marshes can function as vegetated foreshores that reduce wave loads on coastal structures such as dikes and dams, thereby mitigating current and future flood risk. This paper aims to quantify long-term (100 years)...

Towards Living with Water: In search of new perspectives towards living with the increasing risk of flooding in the densifying outer dike area of the urban center of Rotterdam

As a result of global warming sea levels have recently started to rise and pose threatening scenarios to increasingly densifying urban areas worldwide. As the low-lying Netherlands will be one of the first to witness the consequenses of rising sea levelsa and increasing river water discharge, alternatives for its built environment will have to...

Developing a framework for the assessment of current and future flood risk in Venice, Italy

Flooding has been a serious risk to the old-town of Venice, its residents and cultural heritage and continues to be a challenge in future. Despite this existence-defining condition, limited scientific knowledge on flood hazard and flood damage modelling of the old-town of Venice is available to support decisions to mitigate existing and future...

Financial feasibility of large-scale adaptation strategies for future SLR in northern Europe: NEED vs dike reinforcement

The effects of climate change are felt all around the world. An increased sea level goes hand in hand with an increased risk of flooding. To combat this, the coastlines must be reinforced to withstand future sea levels. However, repeatedly reinforcing coastlines to keep up with the sea level rise (SLR) could prove extremely costly. An...

Applying the Dynamic Adaptation Policy Pathways (DAPP) approach to select future flood risk reduction strategies

Sea level variations and storm surges are expected to increase as a result of climate change. 570 cities and some 800 million people are by 2050 estimated to be exposed to these phenomena when emissions do not decrease (UCCRN, 2018). It is, however, deeply uncertain if and to what extent emissions will decrease. Additionally, the effects of...

Fragility Curves for Dikes in the Western Scheldt: Assessing the Applicability of Typology-Based Fragility Curves in assessing Dike Reinforcement Cost for Coastal Dikes

The sea level is rising, possibly by one meter, by the end of this century. The Netherlands is preparing for this scenario through Kennisprogramma Zeespiegelstijging (KP-ZSS). One of the goals is to determine the hydraulic effects of sea level rise (SLR) on the current system. For the flood risk analysis within<br/>KP-ZSS, the current strength...

Optimising reinforcements in flood defence systems with multiple lines of defence

Under growing pressures of climate change, it is vital for our society to implement cost-effective reinforcements in a flood defence system. This thesis proposes a method for optimising reinforcements in a flood defence system with multiple lines of defence under sea level rise.

Exploration of spatial adaptation strategies for mitigating future coastal flood risk in the Netherlands

The study explores the potential impact of accelerated sea level rise on coastal flood risk in the Netherlands, particularly focusing on the Plan B NL2200 approach. Sea levels are expected to rise faster than initially thought due to factors like Antarctica's melting ice. The Sea Level Rise Knowledge Program in the Netherlands investigates...

Coastal adaptation and migration dynamics under future shoreline changes

In this study, we present a novel modeling framework that provides a stylized representation of coastal adaptation and migration dynamics under sea level rise (SLR). We develop an agent-based model that simulates household and government agents adapting to shoreline change and increasing coastal flood risk. This model is coupled to a gravity...