Parallel use of agent-based and System Dynamics modelling: Multi-method scenario discovery of gas import dependency

With the decline of conventional gas resources in many industrialised regions, energy security has increasingly become a topic of interest. Fuelled by disturbed diplomatic relations, both national and regional governments have the desire to decrease their dependency on foreign nations for their gas supply. However, the energy future of these...

Exploring the effects of shale gas development on natural gas markets: A multi-method approach

Now that conventional gas resources are rapidly declining in many industrialised regions, national governments are considering the exploration and production of unconventional resources, with shale gas in particular. Large-scale development of these resources could significantly lower import dependency of the gas supply of many countries. The...