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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Curran, A.N. (author), Bouwer, L. M. (author)Floods are amongst the most frequent disasters in terms of human and economic impacts. This study provides new insights into the frequency of loss of life at the global scale, mortality fractions of the population exposed to floods, and underlying trends. A dataset is compiled based on the EM-DAT disaster database covering the period 1975...journal article 2024
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Diaz, Nicholas D. (author), Lee, Yoonjeong (author), Kothuis, B.L.M. (author), Pagán-Trinidad, Ismael (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Brody, Samuel D. (author)Floods are consistently ranked as the most financially devastating natural disasters worldwide. Recent flood events in the Netherlands, Caribbean, and US have drawn attention to flood risks resulting from pluvial and fluvial sources. Despite shared experiences with flooding, these regions employ distinct approaches and flood management...journal article 2024
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Mooyaart, L.F. (author), Bakker, A.M.R. (author), van den Bogaard, Johan A. (author), Rijcken, T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Storm surge barriers are large movable hydraulic structures which close during a storm surge to prevent coastal floods. In the regions they protect, a failure to close the barrier is often the most likely cause for a catastrophic flood. Nevertheless, flood risk assessments usually only focus on raising flood defences behind the barrier....journal article 2023
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Mooyaart, L.F. (author), Bakker, A.M.R. (author), van den Bogaard, J.A. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Coastal defenses must be upgraded to combat increasing flood risk due to climate change and other factors. Storm surge barriers, large movable hydraulic structures that close temporarily during storm surges to prevent coastal floods, play a vital role in protecting estuaries. Due to the complexity of their risk analyses, important improvements...conference paper 2023
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Kool, J.J. (author), Kanning, W. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)This study introduces a method for assessing the annual failure rate of levees based on information from historical floods, while also considering the return period of these past events. Also, an approach has been developed to quantify the influence of deviating conditions on failure rates. The presence of deviating conditions at failed and...journal article 2022
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Berchum, E.C. (author)Many coastal areas around the world are densely populated and at risk from flooding, but utilize different strategies to deal with coastal hazard. This chapter summarizes how Dutch concepts for coastal flood risk reduction have been explored for Galveston Bay. Firstly, it is shown how risk-based screening methods can help to evaluate various...book chapter 2022
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Jonkman, Niels (author)We study the impact of wrong-way risk (WWR) on the credit valuation adjustment (CVA) of a portfolio of interest rate swaps (IRSs), using an intensity-based reduced form model. To model WWR in IRSs we create a dependence between he underlying market risk factor of the IRS and the survival probability of the <br/>counterparty. The focus lies on...master thesis 2021
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Brussee, A.R. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), De Bruijn, Karin M. (author), Verhoeven, Govert F. (author), Winsemius, H.C. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood simulations are important for flood (fatality) risk assessment. This article provides insight into the sensitivity of flood fatality risks to the model resolution of flood simulations and to several uncertain parameters in the loss of life model used. A case study is conducted for river flooding in a polder in the Netherlands (the...journal article 2021
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Yin, Jie (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Lin, Ning (author), Yu, Dapeng (author), Aerts, Jeroen (author), Wilby, Robert (author), Pan, Ming (author), Bricker, J.D. (author), Ke, Q. (author)Sea level rise (SLR) and subsidence are expected to increase the risk of flooding and reliance on flood defenses for cities built on deltas. Here, we combine reliability analysis with hydrodynamic modeling to quantify the effect of projected relative SLR on dike failures and flood hazards for Shanghai, one of the most exposed delta cities. We...journal article 2020
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Ledden, Mathijs (author), Vrijling, J.K. (author)Flood risk reduction can be provided by interventions such as raising land or constructing flood defences. This paper introduces an approach to optimise the selection of risk reduction strategies. It expands existing economic optimization approaches for flood defences, by introducing (largely) analytical formulations to include the effects of...journal article 2020
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Vuik, V. (author), Borsje, Bas W. (author), Willemsen, Pim W.J.M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Flood risks are increasing worldwide due to climate change and ongoing economic and demographic development in coastal areas. Salt marshes can function as vegetated foreshores that reduce wave loads on coastal structures such as dikes and dams, thereby mitigating current and future flood risk. This paper aims to quantify long-term (100 years)...journal article 2019
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Roubos, A.A. (author), Allaix, Diego (author), Fischer, Katherina (author), Steenbergen, Raphael (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)General frameworks for reliability differentiation have evolved over time and are mainly developed for buildings. However, recommendations for the safety of existing quay walls are lacking. In this study, target reliability indices for assessing existing quay walls were derived by economic optimisation and by evaluating the requirements...journal article 2019
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Özer, I.E. (author), van Damme, M. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Understanding levee failures can be significantly improved by analysing historical failures, experiments and performance observations. Individual efforts have been undertaken to document flood defence failures but no systematically gathered large scale, open access dataset is currently available for thorough scientific research. Here, we...journal article 2019
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Korswagen, Paul A. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Terwel, K.C. (author)Evaluating and predicting structural damage from multi-hazards is a complex task mainly due to the varying ways in which hazards affect structures. Also, different damage scales that employ different parameters and criteria are used for evaluating the hazards, making a connection between the damage assessment of two or more hazards difficult....journal article 2019
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Roubos, A.A. (author), Steenbergen, Raphael D.J.M. (author), Schweckendiek, T. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Design codes and standards rely on generalised target reliability indices. It is unclear, however, whether these indices are applicable to the specific risk-profile of marine structures. In this study, target reliability indices for quay walls were derived from various risk acceptance criteria, such as economic optimisation, individual risk ...journal article 2018
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Kok, M. (author)The application of risk-based approaches for the design of flood infrastructure has become increasingly common in flood management. This approach, based on risk reduction and reliability, is used to assess the performance of conventional interventions (e.g., flood defences and dams) and to support decisions regarding their implementation....journal article 2018
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Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Voortman, H.G. (author), Klerk, W.J. (author), van Vuren, S. (author)This article highlights recent developments in flood risk management in the Netherlands and presents approaches for reliability analysis and asset management for flood defences and hydraulic infrastructure. The functioning of this infrastructure is of great importance for the country as large parts of it are prone to flooding. Based on a...journal article 2018
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Ke, Q. (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. (author), Bricker, J.D. (author)Shanghai, as a coastal city, is vulnerable to various types of flooding. The floodwalls along the Huangpu River provide protection against typhoon-induced flooding. However, there is limited insight into the actual safety level of the flood defences in Shanghai, and recent failures have highlighted their vulnerability. Therefore, the aims of...journal article 2018
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van Berchum, E.C. (author), Mobley, William (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author), Timmermans, Jos (author), Kwakkel, J.H. (author), Brody, Samuel D. (author)Large, complex coastal regions often require a combination of interventions to lower the risk of flooding to an acceptable level. In practice, a limited number of strategies are considered and interdependencies between interventions are often simplified. This paper presents the Multiple Lines of Defence Optimization System (MODOS)‐model. This...journal article 2018
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Lendering, K.T. (author), Sebastian, Antonia (author), Jonkman, Sebastiaan N. (author)Floods are the costliest and deadliest weather-related disaster globally. With higher population density in flood prone areas, increased urban development, and projected climate impacts, the frequency and severity of flooding in Europe is predicted to rise. While permanent flood defences have been shown to be more economically effective and...abstract 2017