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Mohsan, M. (author), Vossepoel, F.C. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)Different data assimilation schemes such as the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), ensemble smoother (ES) and ensemble smoother with multiple data assimilation (ESMDA) are implemented in a hydro-mechanical slope stability analysis. For a synthetic case, these schemes assimilate displacements at the crest and the slope to estimate strength and...journal article 2023
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Mohsan, M. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Vossepoel, F.C. (author)Data assimilation methods have been implemented on a slope stability problem, and the performance of different constitutive models and data assimilation schemes has been investigated. In the first part, a data assimilation scheme called the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is implemented using a finite element model (FEM) and its performance with...conference paper 2023
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Varkey, D. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)This paper investigates the influence of three forms of uncertainty on the probabilistic stability of an idealised 3D embankment slope. These are: 1D spatial variability in the external geometry of the slope along its length, 2D spatial variability in the depth of the boundary between the embankment material and the foundation layer, and 3D...journal article 2022
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Remmerswaal, G. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author)Due to a lack of large deformation dyke assessment models, primary failure mechanisms, such as inner slope failure, are often used as a proxy to assess the probability of failure of a dyke. However, a dyke continues to fulfil its main function unless, or until, flooding occurs. The Random Material Point Method (RMPM) is used here to investigate...journal article 2021
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Jamalinia, E. (author), Sadeghi Tehrani, F. (author), Steele-Dunne, S.C. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)Climatic conditions and vegetation cover influence water flux in a dike, and potentially the dike stability. A comprehensive numerical simulation is computationally too expensive to be used for the near real-time analysis of a dike network. Therefore, this study investigates a random forest (RF) regressor to build a data-driven surrogate for a...journal article 2021
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Mohsan, M. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Vossepoel, F.C. (author)A recursive ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is used as the data assimilation scheme to estimate strength and stiffness parameters simultaneously for a fully coupled hydro-mechanical slope stability analysis. Two different constitutive models are used in the hydro-mechanical model: the Mohr-Coulomb (MC) model and the Hardening Soil (HS) model....journal article 2021
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Jamalinia, E. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Steele-Dunne, S.C. (author)Climatic conditions and vegetation cover influence water flux in a slope which affect the pore water pressure and self weight, hence its stability. High evapotranspiration and low precipitation rates during summer cause dry soil with low soil moisture (SM) that leads to soil shrinkage, which leads to cracking and reduced shear strength, which...conference paper 2020
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Jamalinia, E. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Steele-Dunne, S.C. (author)The stability of a dike is influenced strongly by its water content, via both changing its weight and strength. While safety calculations using both analytical and numerical methods are well studied, the impact of surface boundaries exposed to natural conditions is rarely considered, nor is the fact that this surface is covered in vegetation and...journal article 2020
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Jamalinia, E. (author), Sadeghi Tehrani, F. (author), Steele-Dunne, S.C. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)Water fluxes in slopes are affected by climatic conditions and vegetation cover, which influence the effective stress and stability. The vegetation cover is the intermediate layer between the atmosphere and the slope surface that alter water balance in the slope through evapotranspiration and leaf interception. This paper studies the datadriven...conference paper 2020
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Varkey, D. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)An improved method for the reliability analysis of 3D slopes has been proposed based on the semi-analytical method of Vanmarcke (1977). Comparing the predicted responses of an idealised 3D slope obtained by the more general, albeit computationally intensive, random finite element method (RFEM), and the original semi-analytical method showed that...conference paper 2019
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Remmerswaal, G. (author), Bolognin, M. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author), Rohe, A. (author)This paper describes current work on the implementation of non-trivial boundary conditions (BCs) for improving the general applicability of the Material Point Method (MPM) to geotechnical boundary values problems. It summarises novel boundary treatments (non-trivial BCs) in MPM for (i) flow conditions, as well as (ii) the application of a...conference paper 2019
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Varkey, D. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author)An improved semi-analytical method for calculating the reliability of 3D slopes with spatially varying shear strength parameters is proposed. The response of an existing semi-analytical method has been compared with that of the computationally more intensive, but more general, random finite element method (RFEM), demonstrating that the simpler...journal article 2019
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Jamalinia, E. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Steele-Dunne, S.C. (author)The stability of a dike is influenced strongly by its water content, by way of changes in effective stress and weight. While flow through porous media is relatively well understood, water flux in and out of a dike through a vegetated surface is not as well understood. This paper presents a numerical study of the soil-vegetation-atmosphere...journal article 2019
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Wang, B. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author)Rainfall-induced slope failures are a major category of slope failure, with incidents likely to increase with the predicted escalation of extreme rainfall events. Traditional numerical methods such as the finite element method are often restricted in their applicability to small deformation analyses. Therefore, incomplete descriptions of the...journal article 2018
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Liu, K. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author), Arnold, P. (author)The stability of most earth embankments is strongly influenced by the water content of the soil. The water content directly influences the suction or pore pressure in the soil, as well as the mass of material, thereby affecting the stress state and strength, and leading to changes in the stability. These aspects are coupled by the so-called soil...journal article 2017
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Vardon, P.J. (author), Liu, K. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author)The determination of slope stability for existing slopes is challenging, partly due to the spatial variability of soils. Reliability-based design can incorporate uncertainties and yield probabilities of slope failure. Field measurements can be utilised to constrain probabilistic analyses, thereby reducing uncertainties and generally reducing...journal article 2016
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De Gast, T. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Jommi, C. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author)Regular dyke assessment is part of reducing the risk of flooding in the Netherlands. 18 000 km of dykes are assessed at regular intervals, of which 14 000 km are classified as regional dykes and their main aim is to defend polders from inundating. The methods of assessing regional dykes are strongly inter-twined with the methods of assessing...conference paper 2015
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De Gast, T. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Jommi, C. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author)Regular dyke assessment is part of reducing the risk of flooding in the Netherlands. 18 000 km of dykes are assessed at regular intervals, of which 14 000 km are classified as regional dykes and their main aim is to defend polders from inundating. The methods of assessing regional dykes are strongly inter-twined with the methods of assessing...conference paper 2015
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De Gast, T. (author), Vardon, P.J. (author), Jommi, C. (author), Hicks, M.A. (author)Regular dyke assessment is part of reducing the risk of flooding in the Netherlands. 18 000 km of dykes are assessed at regular intervals, of which 14 000 km are classified as regional dykes and their main aim is to defend polders from inundating. The methods of assessing regional dykes are strongly inter-twined with the methods of assessing...conference paper 2015