The contribution of tidal trapping to salt dispersion has been well described for well-mixed estuaries, in terms of barotropic filling and emptying of the traps. How traps contribute to salt dispersion in deeper, partially stratified systems remains underexplored. We investigate the dispersive effect of temporary storage of saltwater in harbors adjacent to a partially stratified estuary using field observations and numerical modeling. Our results show that instantaneous channel–harbor salt exchange is dominated by density-driven exchange flows arising from baroclinic pressure gradients between the channel and the harbors. This pressure gradient, and consequently the exchange flow, reverses during the tide due to tidal variations in main-channel salinity. Quantification of the trapping-induced additional salt transport from individual basins reveals substantial differences in contributions of individual basins. These differences are linked to a region in the main channel where the tidal salinity range has a minimum, thus limiting the set-up of baroclinic pressure gradients, reducing exchange flow strength and tidal trapping. Analysis of the density-driven exchange reveals that it scales with the tidal salinity range raised to the power 3/2. Using this relationship, we derive an expression for the dispersion coefficient associated with density-driven tidal trapping. This formulation indicates that the resulting dispersion is governed by the main-channel tidal excursion length and the propagation speed of the density current within the trap, and that the dispersion coefficient scales with the square root of the along-channel salinity gradient, in contrast to tidal trapping driven by basin filling and emptying, which is independent of this gradient.

In recent years, increased salt intrusion in surface waters has threatened freshwater availability in coastal regions worldwide. Yet, current future projections of salt intrusion are limited to local regions or changes to single forcing agents. Here, we quantify compounding contributions from changes in river discharge and relative sea level to changing future salt intrusion under a high-emission scenario (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway, SSP3-7.0) for 18 estuaries around the world. We find that the annual 90th percentile future salt intrusion is projected to increase between 1.3% and 18.2% (median 9.1%) in 89% of the studied estuaries worldwide. Our analysis also indicates that, on average, sea-level rise contributes approximately two times more to increasing future salt intrusion than reduced river discharge. We further show that the return levels of present-day 100-year salt intrusion events are projected to increase between 3.2% and 25.2% (median 10.2%) in 83% of the studied estuaries.

In well-mixed estuaries, the up-estuary salt flux is often dominated by tidal dispersion mechanisms, including tidal trapping. Tidal trapping involves volumes of water being temporarily trapped in dead zones or side channels adjacent to the main channel and released later in the tidal cycle, which causes an additional up-estuary salt flux. Tidal trapping can result from a diffusive exchange between a channel and a trap, or from filling and emptying of the trap by a tidal flow that is ahead in phase compared to the flow in the main channel (advective out-of-phase exchange). This study revisits the dispersive contribution from tidal trapping in a single dead-end side channel using an idealized numerical model. The results indicate that advective out-of-phase exchange yields the largest additional salt flux for the largest realistic velocity phase difference of 90∘. Mixing of the trapped salinity field enhances the dispersive effect for small velocity phase differences. A continuous diffusive channel-trap exchange also enhances the dispersive trap effect when the velocity phase difference is small, but can dampen it when the phase difference is large. We demonstrate that the effect of a trap is twofold: firstly, channel-trap exchange alters the salinity field and introduces an additional salt flux in the main channel over a distance equal to the tidal excursion length; secondly, the altered salinity gradients are advected in both up- and down-estuary direction, influencing the tidal salt flux over twice the excursion length.