The paper debates a novel approach for land cover (LC) mapping based on the Hidden Markov Model. The proposed methodology is aimed to address both the urgent demand of off-line (or historic) LC information retrieval and of near-real time LC monitoring. The discrete-time model employs short steps of 16 days, that conveniently fits the Landsat revisit time while providing a continuous and temporally dense representation of the land cover dynamics. Two temporal pattern typologies were identified and modeled within the proposed Markov chain architecture: a seasonal and synchrounous behavior which can be associated to the observables of LC classes such as forest and grasses, and a highly asynchronous behaviour, which characterizes the crop observables. The first typology is addressed by introducing time-dependency in state output probabilities, whereas the latter is rendered through a sequence of (sub-class) states interlinked by means of a 'left-right' based model. Such model inherently incorporates crop growth tracking functionalities as an added value. In this paper the methodology has been tailored to Sao Paulo state (Brazil) scenario, showing overall accuracy above 80% on the test sample. A particular emphasis is attributed to the identification of sugarcane plantations, that are indeed responsible for major land use changes.

In this study, space remote sensing data and crop specific information from the ESA-led AgriSAR 2009 campaign are used for studying the profiles of C-band SAR backscatter signals and multispectral-based leaf area index (LAI) over the growth period of canola, pea and wheat. In addition, the correlations between radar backscatter parameters and the crop yields were analyzed, based on extracted statistics of temporal profiles. The results show that the HV backscatter and LAI are correlated differently before and after LAI peak. In addition, the coefficient of determination between peakrelated statistics from polarimetric indicator profiles and yield for pea fields can reach up to 0.68, and for canola and wheat up to 0.47 and 0.5, respectively. HV backscatter and coherence between HH and VV are most.