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The thesis explores an innovative technique for enhancing the precision of short-term weather forecasts, particularly in predicting extreme weather phenomena, which present a notable challenge for existing models such as PySTEPS due to their volatile behavior. Leveraging precipitation and meteorological data sourced from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), the research innovates through the development of a physics-informed neural network. Central to this approach is the implementation of a Physics-Informed Discriminator GAN (PID-GAN), a method that embeds physical principles directly into the adversarial training regime. The architecture is marked by the integration of a Vector Quantization Generative Adversarial Network (VQ-GAN) and a Transformer as the generator, complemented by a temporal discriminator as the discriminator component. Results from this study indicate a notable advancement over traditional numerical weather prediction and cutting-edge deep learning models, underscoring the PID-GAN model's superiority in delivering accurate precipitation nowcasting metrics.
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The thesis explores an innovative technique for enhancing the precision of short-term weather forecasts, particularly in predicting extreme weather phenomena, which present a notable challenge for existing models such as PySTEPS due to their volatile behavior. Leveraging precipitation and meteorological data sourced from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), the research innovates through the development of a physics-informed neural network. Central to this approach is the implementation of a Physics-Informed Discriminator GAN (PID-GAN), a method that embeds physical principles directly into the adversarial training regime. The architecture is marked by the integration of a Vector Quantization Generative Adversarial Network (VQ-GAN) and a Transformer as the generator, complemented by a temporal discriminator as the discriminator component. Results from this study indicate a notable advancement over traditional numerical weather prediction and cutting-edge deep learning models, underscoring the PID-GAN model's superiority in delivering accurate precipitation nowcasting metrics.
Nowcasting leverages real-time atmospheric conditions to forecast weather over short periods. State-of-the-art models, including PySTEPS, encounter difficulties in accurately forecasting extreme weather events because of their unpredictable distribution patterns. In this study, we design a physics-informed neural network to perform precipitation nowcasting using the precipitation and meteorological data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). This model draws inspiration from the novel Physics-Informed Discriminator GAN (PID-GAN) formulation, directly integrating physics-based supervision within the adversarial learning framework. The proposed model adopts a GAN structure, featuring a Vector Quantization Generative Adversarial Network (VQ-GAN) and a Transformer as the generator, with a temporal discriminator serving as the discriminator. Our findings demonstrate that the PID-GAN model outperforms numerical and SOTA deep generative models in terms of precipitation nowcasting downstream metrics.
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Nowcasting leverages real-time atmospheric conditions to forecast weather over short periods. State-of-the-art models, including PySTEPS, encounter difficulties in accurately forecasting extreme weather events because of their unpredictable distribution patterns. In this study, we design a physics-informed neural network to perform precipitation nowcasting using the precipitation and meteorological data from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI). This model draws inspiration from the novel Physics-Informed Discriminator GAN (PID-GAN) formulation, directly integrating physics-based supervision within the adversarial learning framework. The proposed model adopts a GAN structure, featuring a Vector Quantization Generative Adversarial Network (VQ-GAN) and a Transformer as the generator, with a temporal discriminator serving as the discriminator. Our findings demonstrate that the PID-GAN model outperforms numerical and SOTA deep generative models in terms of precipitation nowcasting downstream metrics.
