In the long-term mining of geothermal resources in hot dry rock (HDR), the change of thermal stress and pore pressure will increase fracture conductivity evolution, further improving production performance. The optimization and decision-making of the development scheme based on the impact of damage from fractures have yet to be reported. The damage to fractures is essential in designing and adjusting geothermal resource development schemes, particularly in selecting optimal schemes. Therefore, the production performances of HDR resources under different parameters are analyzed to establish a database. Then, minimizing flow resistance, maximizing net power, and maximizing economic benefits are set as optimization goals. Various injection-mining parameters and fracture characteristics are treated as decision variables. Multi-objective optimization and multi-attribute decision analysis is conducted to obtain optimal schemes. Finally, optimal schemes are evaluated and compared, considering damage and non-damage scenarios. Results show that the NSGA-II algorithm is more suitable for optimizing geothermal development questions. Net power and economic benefits of the optimal scheme considering damage increase by 45.84 % and 21.35 % compared to the control scheme with damage. For the non-damage scenario, the above values increased by 31.55 % and 5.15 %, respectively. Compared to not considering the damage, higher mass flow and well spacing of optimal scheme can be selected for the case when damaged. Moreover, the parametric design of the optimal scheme becomes more conservative as the production cycle increases.

The development of hot dry rocks (HDRs) is of great significance to adjusting energy structure, alleviating energy shortage, reducing pollution, etc. Low-permeability granite is the predominant rock type in deep HDRs, making fractures the primary pathways for fluid circulation and heat extraction. The production of HDRs is significantly influenced by variable fracture conductivity, but current conductivity characterization primarily relies on the elastic deformation of the matrix, neglecting the impact of damage. Accordingly, we propose an experimental method and a supporting apparatus, which is used to unveil the conductivity evolution characteristics resulting from the comprehensive effects of damage and elastic deformation. The experimental results demonstrate that when subjected to confining force squeezing inward, the fracture conductivity experiences varying degrees of decrease compared to its initial state before the experiment. By utilizing the conductivity evolution rate as the evaluation criterion and conducting grey correlation analysis, it has been determined that temperature exerts the most significant influence on the conductivity evolution, followed by injection flow, and lastly, confining pressure. Moreover, rock particle types and production cycles also have different degrees of effect. After considering the comprehensive effects of damage-elastic deformation at the field-scale, the damage has a positive effect on conductivity enhancement. Our study provides a new approach for the characterization of fracture conductivity evolution for deep geothermal projects.

Hot dry rocks (HDRs), as an essential renewable energy source, its development has received widespread attention, especially for heat extraction. The fracture is the main seepage and heat transfer channel of circulating fluid in dense HDR reservoirs, and its conductivity evolution significantly affects the production performance. Most existing studies have focused on the change of fracture conductivity under elastic deformation without considering the additional conductivity induced by rock damage. However, the additional conductivity may have significant implications for rational design and timely adjustment of the production scheme. Therefore, a three-dimensional model at the field-scale is established, and it is used to analyze the effect of additional conductivity on production performance and economic efficiency. To simplify the calculation, the actual forms of damage are equivalent to the macroscopic physical evolution of the matrix. Results show that the rock is mainly tensile failure affected by thermal stress during production. The occurrence of damage will increase the reservoir permeability and porosity, reduce Young's modulus, and then reduce the differential pressure and production temperature, with a maximum reduction of 2.21 MPa and 14.21 °C in the control case, respectively. The effects of injection temperature, Young's modulus, and injection mass flow on the production performance are significant, followed by Poisson's ratio. In contrast, production pressure and fracture initial permeability had less influence. The maximum differential economic benefit of the control case is up to 2.289 million RMB. This research proves the necessity of damage study during the long-term production of HDRs.