TK

T.T. Kettler

info

Please Note

10 records found

From morphology towards multifunctionality

Doctoral thesis (2026) - T.T. Kettler, M.A. de Schipper, Arjen Luijendijk
Sandy coasts worldwide face increasing pressure from sea level rise, ecological constraints, and intensified human use. Sand nourishment is widely applied as a nature-based alternative to hard coastal defence, yet its long-term morphological and functional impacts remain insufficiently understood—particularly over decadal timescales and under varying design strategies. This thesis develops, validates, and applies a modelling framework to simulate the multi-decadal evolution of nourished sandy coasts under different nourishment strategies and sea level rise scenarios, supporting adaptive and multifunctional coastal planning.
The research was structured around four interlinked subcomponents. First, the multi-decadal cross-shore profile evolution of repeatedly nourished sandy coasts was simulated, focusing on equilibration timescales, profile change, and shoreline migration. This included the development of a cross-shore behavioural model, Crocodile, that comprises diffusion-based formulations and incorporates site-specific parameters governing profile shape, depthdependent diffusion timescales and alongshore transport losses. Validation against three decades of bathymetric data from nourished Dutch coasts demonstrates that Crocodile accurately reproduces shoreline position, beach width, and profile volume, enabling differentiation between nourishment strategies.
Second, the model was used to assess how strategies differing in placement volume, frequency, and policy objectives perform under varying sea level rise rates. Results reveal nonlinear and depth-dependent responses. Larger nourishment volumes can induce profile steepening and reduce nourishment lifetimes by up to 30%. Strategic choices produce differences of up to 75% in total sand demand over 50 years. High-frequency “hold-the-line” approaches may require biannual interventions under accelerated sea level rise, whereas proactive volume-based strategies risk over-nourishment. These findings highlight the importance of flexible design in timing and scale to preserve future adaptation options.
The third part of the study explored the depth-dependent alongshore dispersion of mega nourishments. Crocodile was coupled with the one-line shoreline model ShorelineS to simulate the depthand time-dependent dispersion of Gaussian-shaped mega nourishments over 50 years. Results showed a two-phase evolution: an initial phase of roughly a decade during which sand redistributes both by cross-shore equilibration and alongshore dispersion, followed by longer-term phase dominated by alongshore dispersion. Sand placed at lower bed elevations remains largely immobile, indicating that functional outcomes such as beach width and dune development do not scale linearly with nourishment volume.
Finally, a conceptual framework was developed to link morphological model outputs to coastal functions including recreation, ecology, and flood protection. Application in case studies demonstrates how trade-offs and synergies can be quantified to support multifunctional strategy design. ...

Sand nourishment strategies at decadal scales

Journal article (2025) - Haye H. Geukes, Tosca T. Kettler, Matthieu A. de Schipper, Peter M. van Bodegom, Alexander P.E. van Oudenhoven
Globally, there is a growing societal need for multifunctional coastal climate adaptation of sandy shores in the coming decades. Sand nourishment strategies are increasingly regarded as promising nature-based approaches to adaptation. They may increase flood safety and mitigate coastal erosion while enhancing recreational and ecological functioning. However, their multifunctional potential has not yet been assessed under diverse climate impacts at decadal scales. This study analysed the effects of beach, shoreface and mega-nourishment strategies on the physical capacity of sandy shores to supply coastal multifunctionality, using a systems-based approach. Through a structured literature review, we identified eight indicators for recreational (2 indicators), ecological (3) and flood safety (3) functions. We integrated these indicators into a process-based sand distribution model for dissipative coastal profiles. We simulated indicator states as the coastal profile responded to the nourishment strategies under five sea-level rise scenarios and three erosion rates. Next, we calculated the extent to which the physical capacity for coastal functions and multifunctionality were supplied over six decades. Our results indicate that all three nourishment strategies can highly supply the capacity for coastal multifunctionality, although the drivers of this potential differed per strategy. These findings imply that sand nourishment strategies are viable approaches for multifunctional coastal climate adaptation in the coming decades. However, they require prioritising specific coastal features and functions. Although sand nourishment strategies remain high-impact interventions, they also allow for intentionally creating coastal landscapes. These landscapes may not only provide flood protection but also enhance the specific environmental and societal functions valued in dissipative sandy shores. Prioritising among these functions requires explicit political choices. ...
Projections of high rates of sea level rise have stimulated proposals for adaptation strategies with increasingly high nourishment volumes along sandy beaches. An underlying assumption is that coastal profiles respond rapidly to nourishments by redistributing sediments towards a (new) equilibrium shape. However, this perception may not be valid when high volumes of nourishment are applied, as the profile shape may then undergo significant deformation. Current state-of-the-art modelling techniques often concentrate on a single spatio-temporal scale, either lacking the necessary temporal horizon or failing to provide the required level of cross-shore detail. This article introduces Crocodile, a diffusion based cross-shore model designed to bridge the gap between short- and long-term nourishment modelling. The model simulates the effects of nourishment strategies on coastal volume, coastline position and beach width over a decadal timeframe. It incorporates different elements which compute cross-shore diffusion, sediment exchange with the dune and longshore sediment losses. To test the model performance, a series of idealized nourishment scenarios are examined, along with three case studies along the Dutch coast with different nourishment strategies over the past few decades. The modelled coastal volume, shoreline position and beach width strongly resemble the observations with only a 12% overestimation in profile volume and 13% underestimation in beach width. Averaged over selected periods of nourishment, trends and trend reversals between different strategies are well replicated with slight overestimation for coastal volume trends by 1.5m3/m/yr(10%), while beach width trends are underestimated by 0.2m/yr (15%). Given that the added nourishment volumes are typically in the order of 100m3/m, these model errors are considered sufficiently low to conclude that Crocodile effectively simulates variations in coastal volume, coastline position and beach width over a decadal timeframe in response to different nourishment strategies. Therefore, Crocodile can facilitate the evaluation of future nourishment strategies. ...
Accelerated sea level rise prompts the upscaling of nourishment strategies, either through larger individual nourishment volumes or increased frequency of implementation. In such strategies, the nourished sand may lack time to effectively redistribute in the designated timeframe, leading to significant deformation of the profile over multiple nourishment cycles. This study quantifies subsequent effects, focusing on profile steepening, nourishment lifetimes, and the feasibility of operational objectives. We simulated two common nourishment strategies at a Dutch case study location using the cross-shore morphological model Crocodile over a 50-year timespan under sea level rise rates of 2–32 mm/year. The choice of strategy led to a variation of up to 75% in the total amount of sand used. Our results show increasing profile deformation with nourishment volume applied and duration of the nourishment strategy, with sand accumulating in the nourished section and little dissipation to the lower shoreface. The consequent profile steepening leads to reduced nourishment lifetimes by up to 30%. Additionally, under high sea level rise rates, more erosive coasts experience a reduction in nourishment lifetimes to annual intervals, while less erosive areas require up to four times more sand than currently needed. These findings illustrate key dilemmas in the formulation of future nourishment strategies and highlight the importance of optimizing these strategies to account for sea level rise. ...
Journal article (2024) - Emily Gleeson, Ekaterina Kurzeneva, Wim De Rooy, Laura Rontu, Daniel Martín Pérez, Colm Clancy, Karl-Ivar Ivarsson, Bjørg Jenny Engdahl, Tosca Kettler, More Authors...
The aim of this technical note is to describe the Cycle 46 reference configuration of the HARMONIE-AROME convection-permitting numerical weather prediction model. HARMONIEAROME is one of the canonical system configurations that is developed, maintained, and validated in the ACCORD consortium, a collaboration of 26 countries in Europe and northern Africa on shortrange mesoscale numerical weather prediction. This technical note describes updates to the physical parametrizations, both upper-air and surface, configuration choices such as lateral boundary conditions, model levels, horizontal resolution, model time step, and databases associated with the model, such as for physiography and aerosols. Much of the physics developments are related to improving the representation of clouds in the model, including developments in the turbulence, shallow convection, and statistical cloud scheme, as well as changes in radiation and cloud microphysics concerning cloud droplet number concentration and longwave cloud liquid optical properties. Near real-time aerosols and the ICE-T microphysics scheme, which improves the representation of supercooled liquid, and a wind farm parametrization have been added as options. Surface-wise, one of the main advances is the implementation of the lake model FLake. An outlook on upcoming developments is also included. ...
Review (2024) - Haye H. Geukes, Tosca T. Kettler, Wietse I. van de Lageweg, Tjisse van der Heide, Alexander P.E. van Oudenhoven, Eva M. Lansu, Vincent Bax, Solveig Höfer, Matthieu A. de Schipper, Renske de Winter, Arjen P. Luijendijk, Valerie C. Reijers, Peter M. van Bodegom
Increased climate impacts threaten coastal functions globally, highlighting the need for multifunctional coastal climate adaptation. Sand nourishment can adapt sandy coasts to sea level rise, mitigate erosion, increase flood safety, enhance ecological habitats and expand recreational space. Therefore, sand nourishment is increasingly regarded as a promising nature-based strategy for coastal climate adaptation. However, despite this growing recognition, the assessment of how sand nourishment design impacts multifunctional adaptation remains limited. In this perspective article, we argue for three key lessons for researchers to optimise assessing multifunctional coastal climate adaptation by sand nourishment. We conducted stakeholder workshops to scope and inform our perspective, performed semi-structured literature reviews to concretise and validate this for international applications, built a qualitative model to visualise our interdisciplinary overview of how nourishments impact coastal multifunctionality, reflected on this in expert workshops, and identified implications for researchers. In this manner, we assessed the effects of nourishment design on coastal morphology, ecology, socio-economics and ecosystem services in realising the key policy goals of flood safety, nature and recreation. We found that sand nourishment design can result in conflicts between policy goals, generate ambiguous outcomes and lead to system-wide feedback effects. As such, we identified three key lessons: (1) conflicts between policy goals require informing political decision-making on prioritisation between coastal functions, (2) concreteness is needed on otherwise ambiguous functions, and (3) ongoing, multidisciplinary system-wide monitoring is essential. We thus call for a holistic approach to sand nourishment design and encourage researchers from diverse expertise and localities to expand on and adapt our findings to optimise informing sand nourishment design for delivering multifunctional coastal climate adaptation worldwide. ...
Projections of high rates of sea level rise have stimulated proposals for adaptation strategies with increasingly high nourishment volumes. Nourishment strategies involving higher sand volumes can be accomplished by increasing the volume of individual nourishments or by decreasing the time interval between successive nourishments. The optimal placement of the sediment volumes in the cross-shore and alongshore to attain our coastal management goals is still under debate. From a long term, large scale perspective only the added sediment volume may be considered, regardless of the placement. A widely accepted perception is that coastal profiles respond to nourishment by rapid equilibration to an equilibrium shape including the added sand volume. However, the timescale of the redistribution of the sediment may be slower than the desired spreading rate of the added sediment, causing sediment to accumulate at some parts of the profile, while leaving other elevations sediment starved. This research aims to examine decadal-scale coastal profile response to nourishment strategies upscaled with sea level rise (SLR) whereby potential nourishment strategy impacts for beach width (fluctuations), dune growth potential and momentary coastline are mapped. ...