St
S.F. ter Haar
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The direct effect of CO2 rise on the plant ionome
Implications for Exacerbating Global Malnutrition
Malnutrition is worsening, affecting every country and over 3 billion people. There is evidence that rising CO2 levels will not only indirectly increase malnutrition through climate change effects, but also directly through a downshift in the plant ionome, reducing nutritional quality and increasing hidden hunger. Attempts to calculate the human health impact have been conducted with limited statistical power on a small group of nutrients. The impact on different age-sex groups, countries, and nutrients is still largely unknown. This research aims to fill this gap, creating a meta-analysis of the most data (5,809 entries), crops (43), and elements (31 plus phytate) of any study to date, resolving a methodological gap for disharmonious data and applying this to the GENuS model of global nutritional supply in 2011 for eight nutrients (calcium, copper, iron, magnesium, phosphorus, potassium, protein, and zinc) to see which countries will be able to provide enough nutrients for their citizens in a 550 ppm world compared to at 350 ppm.
Bootstrapping reveals a distinct 5% to 12% systemic downshift in the plant ionome. Both C3 and C4 plants respond, disproving the hypothesis that C4 plants are mostly unaffected by CO2 rise and supporting the idea that the CO2 saturation point is not directly linked to mineral uptake. Elements have a differential response, suggesting that the carbon dilution theory is an inappropriate explanation. Zinc, protein, and iron have the largest decreases, and zinc in chickpeas decreases the most (40%) of all groups. Grains (wheat and rice) and soybeans are the hardest hit crops, decreasing in nutritional value up to 12%.
The total nutrient supply decreases by 2.3% to 6.4%, increasing the malnourishment and obesity double burden. Countries will no longer provide enough nutrients from food solely due to changes in the plant ionome, impacting every country. Half of the world will develop new deficiencies. The strongest predictor of resiliency to nutritional changes from CO2 rise is diet diversity. Exacerbating global inequality, the impact will be particularly pronounced in African and Asian countries, and among women aged 25-29 compared to men of the same age group and children aged 0-4 years. Changing plant stoichiometry will have dramatic global implications for hidden hunger, worsening or introducing deficiencies, especially in iron, phosphorus, potassium, and zinc. ...
Bootstrapping reveals a distinct 5% to 12% systemic downshift in the plant ionome. Both C3 and C4 plants respond, disproving the hypothesis that C4 plants are mostly unaffected by CO2 rise and supporting the idea that the CO2 saturation point is not directly linked to mineral uptake. Elements have a differential response, suggesting that the carbon dilution theory is an inappropriate explanation. Zinc, protein, and iron have the largest decreases, and zinc in chickpeas decreases the most (40%) of all groups. Grains (wheat and rice) and soybeans are the hardest hit crops, decreasing in nutritional value up to 12%.
The total nutrient supply decreases by 2.3% to 6.4%, increasing the malnourishment and obesity double burden. Countries will no longer provide enough nutrients from food solely due to changes in the plant ionome, impacting every country. Half of the world will develop new deficiencies. The strongest predictor of resiliency to nutritional changes from CO2 rise is diet diversity. Exacerbating global inequality, the impact will be particularly pronounced in African and Asian countries, and among women aged 25-29 compared to men of the same age group and children aged 0-4 years. Changing plant stoichiometry will have dramatic global implications for hidden hunger, worsening or introducing deficiencies, especially in iron, phosphorus, potassium, and zinc. ...
Malnutrition is worsening, affecting every country and over 3 billion people. There is evidence that rising CO2 levels will not only indirectly increase malnutrition through climate change effects, but also directly through a downshift in the plant ionome, reducing nutritional quality and increasing hidden hunger. Attempts to calculate the human health impact have been conducted with limited statistical power on a small group of nutrients. The impact on different age-sex groups, countries, and nutrients is still largely unknown. This research aims to fill this gap, creating a meta-analysis of the most data (5,809 entries), crops (43), and elements (31 plus phytate) of any study to date, resolving a methodological gap for disharmonious data and applying this to the GENuS model of global nutritional supply in 2011 for eight nutrients (calcium, copper, iron, magnesium, phosphorus, potassium, protein, and zinc) to see which countries will be able to provide enough nutrients for their citizens in a 550 ppm world compared to at 350 ppm.
Bootstrapping reveals a distinct 5% to 12% systemic downshift in the plant ionome. Both C3 and C4 plants respond, disproving the hypothesis that C4 plants are mostly unaffected by CO2 rise and supporting the idea that the CO2 saturation point is not directly linked to mineral uptake. Elements have a differential response, suggesting that the carbon dilution theory is an inappropriate explanation. Zinc, protein, and iron have the largest decreases, and zinc in chickpeas decreases the most (40%) of all groups. Grains (wheat and rice) and soybeans are the hardest hit crops, decreasing in nutritional value up to 12%.
The total nutrient supply decreases by 2.3% to 6.4%, increasing the malnourishment and obesity double burden. Countries will no longer provide enough nutrients from food solely due to changes in the plant ionome, impacting every country. Half of the world will develop new deficiencies. The strongest predictor of resiliency to nutritional changes from CO2 rise is diet diversity. Exacerbating global inequality, the impact will be particularly pronounced in African and Asian countries, and among women aged 25-29 compared to men of the same age group and children aged 0-4 years. Changing plant stoichiometry will have dramatic global implications for hidden hunger, worsening or introducing deficiencies, especially in iron, phosphorus, potassium, and zinc.
Bootstrapping reveals a distinct 5% to 12% systemic downshift in the plant ionome. Both C3 and C4 plants respond, disproving the hypothesis that C4 plants are mostly unaffected by CO2 rise and supporting the idea that the CO2 saturation point is not directly linked to mineral uptake. Elements have a differential response, suggesting that the carbon dilution theory is an inappropriate explanation. Zinc, protein, and iron have the largest decreases, and zinc in chickpeas decreases the most (40%) of all groups. Grains (wheat and rice) and soybeans are the hardest hit crops, decreasing in nutritional value up to 12%.
The total nutrient supply decreases by 2.3% to 6.4%, increasing the malnourishment and obesity double burden. Countries will no longer provide enough nutrients from food solely due to changes in the plant ionome, impacting every country. Half of the world will develop new deficiencies. The strongest predictor of resiliency to nutritional changes from CO2 rise is diet diversity. Exacerbating global inequality, the impact will be particularly pronounced in African and Asian countries, and among women aged 25-29 compared to men of the same age group and children aged 0-4 years. Changing plant stoichiometry will have dramatic global implications for hidden hunger, worsening or introducing deficiencies, especially in iron, phosphorus, potassium, and zinc.
Scope: Surfactant-alternating-gas (SAG) is the preferred method of foam injection to improve sweep efficiency in enhanced-oil-recovery (EOR). Here, for the first time, fractional-flow theory is extended to include the shock for gas injection in the high-quality regime for radial flow in a non-Newtonian SAG process for shear-thinning and shear-thickening foams.
Methodology: To represent non-Newtonian behavior in the high-quality regime, the limiting water saturation for foam stability varies as superficial velocity decreases with radial distance from the well. We look at the interactions between the shock and the characteristics. The mobility control at the shock front and injectivity are examined. The system is compared to a Newtonian foam.
Results and conclusions: For shear-thinning foam, the foam front’s dimensionless velocity decreases with time, while the characteristics accelerate and collide with the shock. As the foam front propagates, the mobility ratio and mobility control becomes more favorable. The injectivity decreases until breakthrough, then improves slightly.
For shear-thickening foam, dimensionless velocity of the foam front increases with time, while the shocks slow down. Mobility control worsens and injectivity improves as the foam propagates, even before breakthrough. For extremely shear-thickening foam, the near-wellbore region exhibited shear-thinning behavior. This has three causes: a shift from the high- to the low- quality regime, the extrapolation of f mdry over a too large range, and the Namdar Zanganeh correction.
Recommendations: Future models should replace the shock with the colliding characteristic, instead of eliminating the characteristic. For shear-thickening foams, new characteristics should split off from the shock. Include the shear-thinning factor for the low-quality regime to check if the foam is still in the high-quality regime. ...
Methodology: To represent non-Newtonian behavior in the high-quality regime, the limiting water saturation for foam stability varies as superficial velocity decreases with radial distance from the well. We look at the interactions between the shock and the characteristics. The mobility control at the shock front and injectivity are examined. The system is compared to a Newtonian foam.
Results and conclusions: For shear-thinning foam, the foam front’s dimensionless velocity decreases with time, while the characteristics accelerate and collide with the shock. As the foam front propagates, the mobility ratio and mobility control becomes more favorable. The injectivity decreases until breakthrough, then improves slightly.
For shear-thickening foam, dimensionless velocity of the foam front increases with time, while the shocks slow down. Mobility control worsens and injectivity improves as the foam propagates, even before breakthrough. For extremely shear-thickening foam, the near-wellbore region exhibited shear-thinning behavior. This has three causes: a shift from the high- to the low- quality regime, the extrapolation of f mdry over a too large range, and the Namdar Zanganeh correction.
Recommendations: Future models should replace the shock with the colliding characteristic, instead of eliminating the characteristic. For shear-thickening foams, new characteristics should split off from the shock. Include the shear-thinning factor for the low-quality regime to check if the foam is still in the high-quality regime. ...
Scope: Surfactant-alternating-gas (SAG) is the preferred method of foam injection to improve sweep efficiency in enhanced-oil-recovery (EOR). Here, for the first time, fractional-flow theory is extended to include the shock for gas injection in the high-quality regime for radial flow in a non-Newtonian SAG process for shear-thinning and shear-thickening foams.
Methodology: To represent non-Newtonian behavior in the high-quality regime, the limiting water saturation for foam stability varies as superficial velocity decreases with radial distance from the well. We look at the interactions between the shock and the characteristics. The mobility control at the shock front and injectivity are examined. The system is compared to a Newtonian foam.
Results and conclusions: For shear-thinning foam, the foam front’s dimensionless velocity decreases with time, while the characteristics accelerate and collide with the shock. As the foam front propagates, the mobility ratio and mobility control becomes more favorable. The injectivity decreases until breakthrough, then improves slightly.
For shear-thickening foam, dimensionless velocity of the foam front increases with time, while the shocks slow down. Mobility control worsens and injectivity improves as the foam propagates, even before breakthrough. For extremely shear-thickening foam, the near-wellbore region exhibited shear-thinning behavior. This has three causes: a shift from the high- to the low- quality regime, the extrapolation of f mdry over a too large range, and the Namdar Zanganeh correction.
Recommendations: Future models should replace the shock with the colliding characteristic, instead of eliminating the characteristic. For shear-thickening foams, new characteristics should split off from the shock. Include the shear-thinning factor for the low-quality regime to check if the foam is still in the high-quality regime.
Methodology: To represent non-Newtonian behavior in the high-quality regime, the limiting water saturation for foam stability varies as superficial velocity decreases with radial distance from the well. We look at the interactions between the shock and the characteristics. The mobility control at the shock front and injectivity are examined. The system is compared to a Newtonian foam.
Results and conclusions: For shear-thinning foam, the foam front’s dimensionless velocity decreases with time, while the characteristics accelerate and collide with the shock. As the foam front propagates, the mobility ratio and mobility control becomes more favorable. The injectivity decreases until breakthrough, then improves slightly.
For shear-thickening foam, dimensionless velocity of the foam front increases with time, while the shocks slow down. Mobility control worsens and injectivity improves as the foam propagates, even before breakthrough. For extremely shear-thickening foam, the near-wellbore region exhibited shear-thinning behavior. This has three causes: a shift from the high- to the low- quality regime, the extrapolation of f mdry over a too large range, and the Namdar Zanganeh correction.
Recommendations: Future models should replace the shock with the colliding characteristic, instead of eliminating the characteristic. For shear-thickening foams, new characteristics should split off from the shock. Include the shear-thinning factor for the low-quality regime to check if the foam is still in the high-quality regime.