Investigating the effect on ATFM delays of changing the T-DPI-s horizon for regulated flights

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Abstract

As aviation recovers to pre-pandemic levels large amounts of Air Traffic Flow Management delay also return, as the traffic at airports and in airspaces reaches their old levels. These delays have a yearly cost of around 500 million euros in the European Civil Aviation Conference area and are detrimental to the experience of passengers. This paper proposes a change in the interaction between the A-CDM process at Schiphol and EUROCONTROL's Network Manager, varying at what point the slot improvement process for regulated flights is stopped; providing more transparency in the network with this change. The resulting change in ATFM delay is investigated by modelling these two systems and freezing the slots at a set time, using historical input data to accurately model the turnaround process. The results generated using the described methods are inconclusive. More data and an additional implementation of using the CTOTs calculated by the model in the simulated turnaround are needed in order to make statistically sound conclusions on whether changing the T-DPI-s horizon has any effect. Nevertheless, this paper still presents insights and a novel framework for continued research into the subject.