Mobility impacts of a new metro system with transit-oriented development features

Journal article (2022)

Authors

Anna Ibraeva Universidade de Coimbra
Gonçalo Correia Transport and Planning - CEG
Cecília Silva Universidade do Porto
António Pais Antunes Universidade de Coimbra
Research Group
Transport and Planning (CEG) (TU Delft)
Copyright: © 2022 Anna Ibraeva, Gonçalo Correia , Cecília Silva, António Pais Antunes
DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trd.2022.103357
Transit-oriented development Metro systems Beta regression models Car use reduction Longitudinal research approach Origin–destination flows Travel mode shares
More Info
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Published Date

2022

Language

English

Faculty

Civil Engineering & Geosciences

Department

Transport and Planning

Research Group

Transport and Planning

Abstract

Few studies have analyzed the mobility impacts of TOD using a longitudinal research approach, and even fewer incorporated origin–destination (OD) information in the analysis. In this paper, we examine the impacts of a metro system with TOD features on the share of car and bus trips using Metro do Porto as a case study. The application of an autoregressive beta regression modeling approach to parish and OD data from two mobility surveys (2000 and 2017) allowed to detect changes in travel behavior accounting for pre-metro mode shares. Metro implementation was associated with strong reductions of the share of car trips in OD pairs with metro at both trip ends, especially when stations were TOD. Metro influence on the share of bus trips varied from neutral to positive, suggesting that bus and metro complement each other rather than compete for passengers.