Expected ice loads on hydraulic structures in the Maas in a scenario of decreased AMOC strength
Pauline van Adrichem (TU Delft - Civil Engineering & Geosciences, Witteveen+Bos)
Hayo Hendrikse (TU Delft - Civil Engineering & Geosciences)
Astrid Blom (TU Delft - Civil Engineering & Geosciences)
Siemen Algra (Witteveen+Bos)
Arjen van den Dalfsen
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Abstract
Due to the gradual decrease in flow of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and given the geographical position, a change in climate in the Netherlands is expected (Van den Dool, 2025) & (Carrington, Damian, 2025). The AMOC transports warm ocean water to Northern Europe leading to a temperate maritime climate in the Netherlands. A gradually decreasing or complete collapse of the AMOC certainly results in a colder Northern Europe. Resulting lower air and surface temperatures, will impact ice formation on rivers, such as the Maas. Other claims of consequences in case of an AMOC collapse are: less precipitation in Europe, and faster sea level rise in the Atlantic Ocean (Van den Dool, 2025).
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