Suboptimality analysis of receding horizon quadratic control with unknown linear systems and its applications in learning-based control

Journal Article (2026)
Author(s)

Shengling Shi (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, TU Delft - Team Raf Van de Plas)

Anastasios Tsiamis (ETH Zürich)

Bart De Schutter (TU Delft - Delft Center for Systems and Control)

Research Group
Team Raf Van de Plas
DOI related publication
https://doi.org/10.1109/TAC.2025.3605539
More Info
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Publication Year
2026
Language
English
Research Group
Team Raf Van de Plas
Issue number
3
Volume number
71
Pages (from-to)
1422-1437
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Abstract

This work analyzes how the trade-off between the modeling error, the terminal value function error, and the prediction horizon affects the performance of a nominal receding-horizon linear quadratic (LQ) controller. By developing a novel perturbation result of the Riccati difference equation, a novel performance upper bound is obtained and suggests that for many cases, the prediction horizon can be either 1 or +∞ to improve the control performance, depending on the relative difference between the modeling error and the terminal value function error. The result also shows that when an infinite horizon is desired, a finite prediction horizon that is larger than the controllability index can be sufficient for achieving a near-optimal performance, revealing a close relation between the prediction horizon and controllability. The obtained suboptimality performance upper bound is applied to provide novel sample complexity and regret guarantees for nominal receding-horizon LQ controllers in a learning-based setting. We show that an adaptive prediction horizon that increases as a logarithmic function of time is beneficial for regret minimization.

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File under embargo until 03-04-2026