Insights into Global Glacier Dynamics Using Physics-Based Modelling
V. Gajadhar (TU Delft - Applied Sciences)
Jordi Bolibar – Mentor (Université Grenoble Alpes)
Bas J.H. van de Wiel – Graduation committee member (TU Delft - Atmospheric Remote Sensing)
Bert Wouters – Graduation committee member
D. Eric Verschuur – Graduation committee member (TU Delft - Applied Geophysics and Petrophysics)
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Abstract
This thesis delves into glacier dynamics using the 2D Shallow Ice Approximation enriched by satellite remote sensing data on glacier surface velocities and ice thickness, aiming to refine empirical laws for better predicting glacier movements. The integration of such data has been pivotal, markedly enhancing model calibration despite challenges like steady-state assumptions necessitated by data scarcity. This underscores the critical role of high-quality, temporally resolved data in modeling glacier dynamics accurately.
A significant advancement was the implementation of spatial stratification, which notably improved model performance—reducing Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) by up to 30% and elevating the coefficient of determination (R²) by 0.2 to 0.4 across different regions. This highlights the potential of fully distributed inversions to capture the complex variability of glaciers. Employing Julia for its computational efficiency proved effective for large-scale modeling tasks, setting a promising foundation for future research aimed at understanding and predicting glacier responses to climate change. It is recommended to utilize geostatistical interpolation methods for inverting glacier characteristics from sparse data, in order to acquire these characteristics across the entire glacier area.