Geospatial analysis of the life cycle global warming impacts from marine renewables

Abstract

The deployment of marine renewables (MRE) is important for transitioning to a low-carbon energy system. However, their performance is highly dependent on the deployment location, making the selection of feasible sites critical for large-scale implementation. To contribute meaningfully to Europe’s renewable energy strategy and support a carbon-neutral energy system by 2050, the environmental performance of MREs must be taken into account in site selection, beyond the typical economic and technical aspects. Therefore, this study presents a geospatial analysis of the climate change mitigation potential of two wave energy converters, floating offshore photovoltaics, and floating wind turbines in northern European coastal waters. By combining a detailed life cycle assessment model of the four MREs with spatial data, the distribution of their life cycle global warming impact and carbon payback periods is assessed across multiple regions. The results show significantly varying impact levels of the different MREs, with carbon-neutral deployment not guaranteed at every location. Wave energy converters only partially reach carbon neutrality, while floating photovoltaics fail to do so across the entire study area. Floating wind turbines can be considered carbon-neutral nearly across their entire theoretical application area. The findings highlight the importance of taking into account site-specific environmental performance of MREs in order to ensure a positive contribution to climate change mitigation. By providing spatially explicit maps of MREs’ global warming impacts and carbon payback periods, this study enables as the first of its kind the inclusion of climate change mitigation considerations in the site selection process for MREs.