Taboo trade-off aversion in choice behaviors

A discrete choice model and application to health-related decisions

Journal Article (2025)
Author(s)

Nicholas V.R. Smeele ( Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam)

S. van Cranenburgh (TU Delft - Transport and Logistics)

Bas Donkers ( Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam)

Maartje H.N. Schermer (Erasmus MC)

Esther W. de Bekker-Grob ( Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam)

Research Group
Transport and Logistics
DOI related publication
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118606
More Info
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Publication Year
2025
Language
English
Research Group
Transport and Logistics
Volume number
386
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Abstract

Objectives: Taboo trade-offs can explain some of the (moral) difficulties in healthcare decision-making. The moral psychology literature suggests that individuals are averse to making trade-offs between attributes belonging to different values, such as (sacred) human lives versus (secular) money. We demonstrate and empirically test a discrete choice model designed to capture Taboo Trade-off Aversion (TTOA) behaviors in the healthcare domain. Methods: The linear-additive Random Utility Maximization (RUM) model is extended to capture TTOA behaviors by including penalties for taboo trade-offs. Using two Discrete Choice Experiments (DCEs) focusing on taboo trade-offs in public health policies, we empirically compare conventional linear-additive RUM models with TTOA models to explore differences in model and behavioral results. Results: We observe TTOA in both DCEs. In one DCE, the TTOA model separates TTOA effects from attribute-related parameters, showing inflated parameters in conventional RUM models when TTOA behavior is present. This discrepancy affected Willingness-To-Pay (WTP) estimates, with WTP to save an incremental patient life approximately 3.5 times higher in conventional RUM models compared to the TTOA models. The presence and magnitude of TTOA varied considerably across respondents. Latent Class (LC) models reveal that some respondent groups perceive trade-offs as taboo significantly, while others do not. Conclusions: Accounting for TTOA in RUM models may lead to more accurate behavioral information when choice behaviors are affected by taboo trade-offs. Researchers and policymakers can use TTOA models to obtain a more nuanced understanding of public acceptability in morally salient policy decisions – ultimately helping to navigate, rather than avoid, taboo trade-offs.