Green Bond Valuation: A Numerical Mathematics Perspective
Assessing the Influence of Environmental Factors
J.O.M. Rutten (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)
Kees Vuik – Mentor (TU Delft - Delft Institute of Applied Mathematics)
V.N.S.R. Dwarka – Graduation committee member (TU Delft - Numerical Analysis)
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Abstract
This thesis presents a novel approach to the pricing of green bonds, a growing segment in financial markets with an emphasis on environmental sustainability. Unlike traditional financial instruments, green bonds uniquely incorporate environmental considerations, particularly carbon price (c_t), along with traditional factors like the short rate (r_t), into their valuation. This integration is increasingly relevant in today’s economy, reflecting a shift towards sustainable finance. The core of this research involves applying advanced numerical methods, including the Finite Difference Method, Crank-Nicolson discretization, GMRES and Bi-CGSTAB, in order to develop and analyze pricing models for both green and conventional bonds. The study aims to assess how environmental factors impact the efficiency of these numerical techniques and to compare the outcomes with conventional bond models. The research reveals that green bonds, compared to conventional bonds, present unique numerical challenges, notably requiring more iterations for convergence in iterative methods GMRES and Bi-CGSTAB because of the high carbon price volatility (σc) and the ’Greenium’ phenomenon. Moreover, the comparative analysis showed that while Bi-CGSTAB outperforms GMRES in the green bond model, the opposite is true for conventional bonds. This study not only contributes to the theoretical understanding of green bond pricing but also offers practical insights for financial analysts and investors navigating this evolving market.
Keywords: Green Bonds, Bond Pricing, Zero-Coupon Bond, Short Rate Modeling, Numerical Methods, Crank-Nicolson, GMRES, BiCGSTAB, Environmental Finance, Sustainable Investing, Comparative Analysis, Financial Modeling.