Impact of leader-follower behavior on evacuation performance

An exploratory modeling approach

Master thesis (2022)

Authors

J.V. Irnich Technology, Policy and Management

Contributors

C.N. van der Wal System Engineering - TPM (supervisor 1)
Willem L. Auping Policy Analysis - TPM (supervisor 2)
D.C. Duives Transport and Planning - CEG (coach)
Faculty
Technology, Policy and Management
Copyright: © 2022 Jakob Irnich
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Published Date

29-08-2022

Language

English

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Faculty

Technology, Policy and Management

Abstract

Different leader-follower behavior may be observed in models, such as group gathering, backtracking, and flexibility of the group. However, a comparison of these behaviors resulting in possible substantially different estimates of optimal evacuation procedures is lacking. Hence, we developed an Agent-based model in combination with exploratory modeling to compare backtracking, group gathering, and the possibility to change to another leader and investigate their influence on the evacuation and response time to receive a robust result. The results showed that backtracking and flexibility of the group increased the evacuation time. Whereby group gathering impacts the response time. In addition, the combination of behaviors increases the influence on evacuation and response time. Further research needs to test these results with empirical studies. Furthermore, the impact of other leader-follower behavior needs to be investigated.