Understanding Terrorist Activity
Is Agent-Based Modelling a viable solution?
D.D. Kaak (TU Delft - Electrical Engineering, Mathematics and Computer Science)
Pasquale Cirillo – Mentor
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Abstract
In this report an Agent-Based Model created by Bulleit and Drewek used for analysing terrorist attacks will be implemented and compared with reality.
First the implementation of the model is explained based on different articles written by Bulleit and Drewek. After that the data of the simulations are analysed statistically. In this analysis the model is compared with the Global Terrorism Database for consistency with historical data and the model is compared for consistency in distributions of the data based on research reports. Finally, a few extensions will be implemented and again analysed statistically.
An Agent-Based Model for terrorist activity can give us insights in the behaviour of terrorists. It can especially be used for security policies or when we want to investigate what happens with an implementation of a new type of security.