Flexibility prediction in Smart Grids
Making a case for Federated Learning
Selma Čaušević (TNO)
Ron Snijders (TNO)
Geert L.J. Pingen (TNO)
Paolo Pileggi (TNO)
Mathilde Theelen (TNO)
Martijn Warnier (TU Delft - Multi Actor Systems)
F.M. Brazier (TU Delft - System Engineering)
Koen Kok (Eindhoven University of Technology)
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Abstract
High penetration of renewable energy sources brings both opportunities and challenges for Smart Grid operation. Due to their high contribution to energy consumption, aggregated load flexibility of small residential and service sector consumers has a potential to address the intermittency challenge of distributed generation. Predicting aggregated load flexibility of this consumer sector involves access to sensitive smart meter data, raising data collection and sharing concerns. Federated Learning, a decentralized machine learning technique that uses data distributed on user devices to construct an aggregated, global model, offers potential solutions to tackling this challenge. This paper explores the potential of using Federated Learning for flexibility prediction in Smart Grids through an analysis of its opportunities and implications for different stakeholders involved, as well as the challenges faced. The analysis shows that Federated Learning is a promising approach for building privacy-preserving energy portfolios of aggregated demand data.