Risk-averse Estimation of Electric Heat Pump Power Consumption
Nikolaos Damianakis (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage)
GR Chandra-Mouli (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage)
P Bauera (TU Delft - DC systems, Energy conversion & Storage)
More Info
expand_more
Other than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download, forward or distribute the text or part of it, without the consent of the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license such as Creative Commons.
Abstract
An important aspect of the energy transition is the expected grid impact due to the abrupt increase of distributed electric generation and electric load demand. A part of this impact is going to be inflicted by the electrification of heating with heat pumps (HPs). Therefore, it is essential that the future power consumption of electric heating is estimated. This work develops a power estimation model without the use of heating demand data, needing only weather data and building heat pump specifications. Moreover, it is characterized as a risk-averse estimation since it uses no optimal control and utilizes the heat pump output capacity curves giving simultaneous priority to the customers' thermal comfort. Finally, it also estimates the power savings of electric heating due to future buildings' new insulation and energy label norms, revealing their importance.