Resilient by design: a modelling approach to support scenario and policy analysis in the Olifants River Basin, South Africa
Jai Clifford Holmes (Rhodes University)
S Pollard (Association for Water and Rural Development)
H Biggs (Association for Water and Rural Development)
Kundai Chihambakwe (Association for Water and Rural Development)
J.H. Slinger (TU Delft - Rivers, Ports, Waterways and Dredging Engineering, TU Delft - Policy Analysis)
More Info
expand_more
Other than for strictly personal use, it is not permitted to download, forward or distribute the text or part of it, without the consent of the author(s) and/or copyright holder(s), unless the work is under an open content license such as Creative Commons.
Abstract
In this paper, we report on a concerted modelling effort in the South African water resources sector in which system dynamics provides the paradigmatic framing for both a stakeholder engagement process and for developing an underpinning, integrative simulation model. We describe the design of the parallel modelling approach and examine the progress to date. We highlight the crafting of the engagement sessions to fit the different characteristics and needs of the participating stakeholders and reflect upon outcomes so as to set the project path into the future. In this, we choose to build resilience by a progression from collecting and exploring individual experiences of stakeholders’ problems; to connecting individuals’ experiences to their broader sectors’ problems; and finally to cross-connecting the sectors’ impacts and requirements to one another under different scenarios of change.