Outcome novelty in Exploratory Modellingand Analysis

A research into the value of novelty search for exploratory modelling

Master Thesis (2021)
Author(s)

N.M.J. Ras (TU Delft - Technology, Policy and Management)

Contributor(s)

Jan H. Kwakkel – Mentor (TU Delft - Policy Analysis)

Jazmin Salazar – Graduation committee member (TU Delft - Policy Analysis)

M.E. Warnier – Coach (TU Delft - Multi Actor Systems)

Faculty
Technology, Policy and Management
Copyright
© 2021 Martijn Ras
More Info
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Publication Year
2021
Language
English
Copyright
© 2021 Martijn Ras
Graduation Date
28-06-2021
Awarding Institution
Delft University of Technology
Programme
['Engineering and Policy Analysis']
Faculty
Technology, Policy and Management
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Abstract

Novelty search is a state-of-the-art approach focusing on behavioural novelty, rewarding diverging, as opposed to pursuing static objectives. This is relevant for exploratory modelling and analysis, which focuses on exploration of model through open exploration or directed search. Novelty search as an open exploration strategy is being tested against proven methods such as latin hypercube sampling. Using existing evolutionary algorithms and a developed novelty function, the experiments focus on comparisson, impact of the number of functional evaluations and the impact of the goals of the evolutionary algorithm. Finally it can be concluded that novelty search finds novelties in the lake problem, which makes it a relevant search strategy, but not suited for indiviual exploration. That means that it would still be advised to use latin hypercube sampling for earlier exploration.

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