Print Email Facebook Twitter Uncertainty Quantification with Experts Title Uncertainty Quantification with Experts: Present Status and Research Needs Author Hanea, Anca M. (University of Melbourne) Hemming, Victoria (University of British Columbia) Nane, G.F. (TU Delft Applied Probability) Date 2021 Abstract Expert elicitation is deployed when data are absent or uninformative and critical decisions must be made. In designing an expert elicitation, most practitioners seek to achieve best practice while balancing practical constraints. The choices made influence the required time and effort investment, the quality of the elicited data, experts’ engagement, the defensibility of results, and the acceptability of resulting decisions. This piece outlines some of the common choices practitioners encounter when designing and conducting an elicitation. We discuss the evidence supporting these decisions and identify research gaps. This will hopefully allow practitioners to better navigate the literature, and will inspire the expert judgment research community to conduct well powered, replicable experiments that properly address the research gaps identified. Subject CMexpert elicitation protocolsIDEASHELFuncertainty quantification To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:7b5e3a9e-8f07-4def-a981-7d0044d70000 DOI https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13718 Embargo date 2023-03-01 ISSN 0272-4332 Source Risk Analysis: an international journal, 42 (2022) (2), 254-263 Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type journal article Rights © 2021 Anca M. Hanea, Victoria Hemming, G.F. Nane Files PDF Eliciting_expert_judgment ... _final.pdf 395.54 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:7b5e3a9e-8f07-4def-a981-7d0044d70000/datastream/OBJ/view