The probabilistic assessment of trench sedimentation in sand wave fields

Based on a case study at the Borssele Wind Farm Zone

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Abstract

For the transportation of the produced energy at offshore windfarms to the onshore grid, export cables have to be installed in the sea bed. Usually, at first trenches are dredged, in which approximately one month later the cables are installed. During this period the trench should remain sufficiently open to install the cables, fulfilling the depth requirements. This thesis focusses on the influence of sand wave fields on the sedimentation rate. It is investigated how trench sedimentation can best be assessed: with a simple model in combination with an extensive probabilistic assessment, or with a more complex model in which a less detailed probabilistic assessment is possible. The research is based on a case study at the Borssele Wind Farm Zone, for which the sedimentation rate is determined during the month April.
The sedimentation is primarily caused by a reduction in (the perpendicular-directed) flow velocity. Shifting of shoals or banks does not occur during the short timescale. The same holds for the sand waves, which do not migrate significantly during this time. Under influence of bedload transport however, the largest sedimentation rates are found for trenches around the sand wave crest. Closer to the troughs, less sedimentation can be expected.
During the probabilistic assessment of the trench sedimentation in flat bathymetries, it was found that the uncertainty obtained by Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) with an 2DV-model is reduced compared to the Monte Carlo-analysis (MC-analysis) in SedPit: the median is for both cases 0.06m, the 5-95 percentiles are 0.03m-0.09m and 0.04m-0.13m respectively. Including (idealized) sand wave perturbations in the 2DV-model, increases the range of the P05-P95 values for in trench sedimentation to 0.01 and 0.13m.
Based on the results, it is concluded that SedPit can be used as first assessment tool for the trench sedimentation, since it covers the range obtained with the more complex 2DV-model. The main advantage is the limited computation time of around 1.5 hours, compared to around 48 hours with the sand wave model. On the other hand, the 2DV-model is able to produce more accurate results.
The siltation rate in trenches located at sand wave crests is underestimated by SedPit compared to the results obtained from the 2DV-model. The opposite holds for trenches located at sand wave troughs, in which more sedimentation is predicted by SedPit. Adjusting the calibration parameter of sand transport in SedPit within the ranges provided in Van Rijn (2013) (0.5 for a sand wave trough and 1.0 for a sand wave crest), can at most decrease the difference between the models. For trenches located near a sand wave crest or trough, it is therefore advised to use at least the 2DV-model to assess trench sedimentation.
Furthermore, the 2DV-model can only be used in the case of perpendicular flow with respect to the trench-axis. Inclusion of the sand wave processes, which act in the 2DV-direction, for non-perpendicular flows therefore requires 3D modelling.