Print Email Facebook Twitter Dynamic Assessment of VCE-Induced Domino Effects Title Dynamic Assessment of VCE-Induced Domino Effects Author Chen, C. (TU Delft Safety and Security Science) Reniers, G.L.L.M.E. (TU Delft Safety and Security Science) Yang, M. (TU Delft Safety and Security Science) Date 2022 Abstract Vapor cloud explosion (VCE) accidents such as the Jaipur explosion in 2005 manifest that VCEs may lead to unpredicted overpressures, resulting in catastrophic domino effects. Many attempts have been made to assess VCEs and the subsequent domino effects in the process and chemical industry, whereas little attention has been paid to the spatial–temporal evolution of VCEs. Thus, this chapter provides a dynamic methodology based on the discrete dynamic event tree to assess the likelihood of VCEs and possible subsequent domino effects. The developed methodology includes six steps: identification and characterization of loss of containment scenarios, analysis of vapor cloud dispersion, identification and characterization of ignition sources, explosion frequency assessment, overpressure calculation, and escalation assessment. Given a release scenario, by applying the developed methodology, we can obtain the probability of VCEs, the likelihood of domino effects, and the damage probabilities of installations exposed to overpressure. To reference this document use: http://resolver.tudelft.nl/uuid:dcd9355c-acbc-4279-9b64-558f1ec668e7 DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-88911-1_3 Publisher Springer Embargo date 2022-04-30 ISBN 978-3-030-88911-1 Source Integrating Safety and Security Management to Protect Chemical Industrial Areas from Domino Effects Series Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, 1614-7839 Bibliographical note Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public. Part of collection Institutional Repository Document type book chapter Rights © 2022 C. Chen, G.L.L.M.E. Reniers, M. Yang Files PDF Chen2022_Chapter_Conclusi ... search.pdf 216.86 KB Close viewer /islandora/object/uuid:dcd9355c-acbc-4279-9b64-558f1ec668e7/datastream/OBJ/view