Reliability Updating of Sheet Pile Walls

An analysis on the parameter updating process

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Abstract

Throughout the years the requirements of sheet pile walls have changed. Therefore reassessment of these structure's reliability is of importance. In this thesis, Bayesian updating is used for the reliability updating task. Updating processes require measurements of the structure under known conditions. Although for practical and economical reasons failure measurements of structures are seldomely available. Therefore the research focusses on whether it is possible to update a sheet pile wall's reliability using service domain measurements instead. Parameter updating methods generally return the statistically most likely parameter values for producing the observations. Using a theoretical sheet pile wall case, it is tested if the Bayesian updating method is able to effectively return the true soil parameter values as the most likely parameter set. The results show that the Bayesian updating method is very capable of approaching the used observations with the updated model response. Also the updated values of the most influential parameters show evolution in the direction of their true values. But the method does have difficulties with returning the true soil parameter values, even when applied to a theoretical case and with the use of elaborate observation configurations. Recommendations are given on further research concerning the use of the Bayesian updating method, the different influences on its performance and method application limitations.