Cretaceous climate change evidenced in the Senegalese rock record, NW Africa

Climate change directly impacts the source, mode and volume of sediment generation which can be observed in the rock record. To accurately model source to sink systems, in addition to hinterland geology, tectonics and transport distance, a thorough comprehension of the climate is essential. In this study we evaluate the role of climate on...

Opportunities of Natural Resources Making Buildings More Resilient

An overview is given of the state-of-the-art of natural and hybrid ventilation in buildings in general. The focus of this paper is on boundary conditions for openable windows. As a case study the Co Creation Centre at the TU-Delft is discussed. Occupants live in their own houses and often in an office or other working environments as well. Due...

CMIP6 wave climate simulation in the European North East Atlantic Basin using WaveWatch III

Climate change is expected to have an impact on wind patterns, and therefore the generation of waves. Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), provides various realization of outputs integrated global coupled models for different centuries. Wind quality is a cornerstone for wave energy as it is the primary generation driver...

A Lagrangian study of globally emitted aviation NOx and associated short-term O3 radiative forcing effects

The resilient growth of air travel demands a comprehensive understanding of the climate effects from aviation emissions. The current level of knowledge of the environmental repercussions of CO2 emissions is considerably higher than that of non-CO2 emissions, which includes nitrogen oxides (NOx), sulfur oxides (SOx), other aerosols like black...

Coping with increasing tides: Evolving agglomeration dynamics and technological change under exacerbating hazards

By 2050 about 70% of the world's population is expected to live in cities. Cities offer spatial economic advantages that boost agglomeration forces and innovation, fostering further concentration of economic activities. For historic reasons urban centers cluster along coasts, which are prone to climate-induced flooding and sea level rise. To...

Exploring Regional Agglomeration Dynamics in Face of Climate-Driven Hazards: Insights from an Agent-Based Computational Economic Model

By 2050 about 80% of the world’s population is expected to live in cities. Cities offer spatial economic advantages that create agglomeration forces and innovation that foster concentration of economic activities, but for historic reasons cluster along coasts and rivers that are prone to climate-driven flooding. To explore tradeoffs between...

A Data-Driven Surrogate Approach for the Temporal Stability Forecasting of Vegetation Covered Dikes

Climatic conditions and vegetation cover influence water flux in a dike, and potentially the dike stability. A comprehensive numerical simulation is computationally too expensive to be used for the near real-time analysis of a dike network. Therefore, this study investigates a random forest (RF) regressor to build a data-driven surrogate for a...

Modeling the underlying drivers of natural vegetation occurrence in west africa with binary logistic regression method

The occurrence of natural vegetation at a given time is determined by interplay of multiple drivers. The effects of several drivers, e.g., geomorphology, topography, climate variability, accessibility, demographic indicators, and changes in human activities on the occurrence of natural vegetation in the severe drought periods and, prior to...

Is a simple model based on two mixing reservoirs able to reproduce the intra-annual dynamics of DOC and NO₃ stream concentrations in an agricultural headwater catchment?

Agriculture disturbs the biogeochemical cycles of major elements, which alters the elemental stoichiometry of surface stream waters, with potential impacts on their ecosystems. However, models of catchment hydrology and water quality remain relatively disconnected, even though the observation that dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and nitrate ...

Mapping land use land cover transitions at different spatiotemporal scales in West Africa

Post‐classification change detection was applied to examine the nature of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) transitions in West Africa in three time intervals (1975–2000, 2000–2013, and 1975– 2013). Detailed analyses at hotspots coupled with comparison of LULC transitions in the humid and arid regions were undertaken. Climate and anthropic drivers...

Sinking of Dense North Atlantic Waters in a Global Ocean Model: Location and Controls

We investigate the characteristics of the sinking of dense waters in the North Atlantic Ocean that constitute the downwelling limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) as simulated by two global ocean models: an eddy-permitting model at 1/4° resolution and its coarser 1° counterpart. In line with simple geostrophic...

Implications of Warm Rain in Shallow Cumulus and Congestus Clouds for Large-Scale Circulations

Space-borne observations reveal that 20–40% of marine convective clouds below the freezing level produce rain. In this paper we speculate what the prevalence of warm rain might imply for convection and large-scale circulations over tropical oceans. We present results using a two-column radiative–convective model of hydrostatic, nonlinear flow...

Do green roofs cool the air?

Rapid urbanization and an increasing number and duration of heat waves poses a need to mitigate extremely high temperatures. One of the repeatedly suggested measures to moderate the so called urban heat island are green roofs. This study investigates several extensive sedum-covered green roofs in Utrecht (NL) and their effect on air...

Feasibility of climate-optimized air traffic routing for trans-Atlantic flights

Current air traffic routing is motivated by minimizing economic costs, such as fuel use. In addition to the climate impact of CO2 emissions from this fuel use, aviation contributes to climate change through non-CO2 impacts, such as changes in atmospheric ozone and methane concentrations and formation of contrail-cirrus. These non-CO2 impacts...

Peak precipitation intensity in relation to atmospheric conditions and large-scale forcing at midlatitudes

Research on relations between atmospheric conditions and extreme precipitation is important to understand and model present-day climate extremes and assess how precipitation extremes might evolve in a future climate. Here we present a statistical analysis of the relation between large-scale conditions and hourly precipitation at midlatitudes,...

Long-term strategies for flood risk management: Scenario definition and strategic alternative design

Flood risk management requires policy making for a relatively far and largely unknown future. Task 14 of Theme 2 in FLOODsite aims to provide methodological guidance on how to perform the design/development of long term strategic alternatives for flood risk management and how to assess their performance in different future scenarios. To begin...

Estimation of the Maximum Physically Possible Precipitation in Saxony Using a Mesoscale Atmospheric Model

A series of sensitivity studies have been performed to estimate the impact of presumed global warming on synoptic scale weather events. Within the framework of an epignostic study, mesoscale simulations of the Elbe river flood (August, 2002) employing the COSMO-DE model of the DWD have been carried out. The first set of runs was realised on a...

Runup and sand dune erosion along the coast of Ystad

The main objectives of this study was to analyze waves and water levels, from existing climate data, to make conclusions about how the beach, particularly the sand dunes, at Ystad Sandskog has been influenced by the coastal climate up to today. Based on available forecasts, possible scenarios were developed for this area, making it possible to...